Eredivisie·Etapa 15·
Eredivisie·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
25%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,512,81sigur0,34–2,270,65–2,360,99–4,64mai sigur0,09–2,530,42–2,590,51–5,12
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
13%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,544,869,40sigur2,68–6,403,12–6,615,80–13,01mai sigur2,19–6,892,65–7,074,84–13,96
Total șuturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3614,1827,54sigur9,43–17,2810,62–17,7520,06–35,03mai sigur8,34–18,379,66–18,7118,00–37,08
Șuturi din careu
35%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,639,7218,34sigur5,68–11,577,04–12,4012,72–23,97mai sigur4,85–12,406,30–13,1411,15–25,53
Șuturi blocate
44%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,973,867,83sigur2,09–5,852,20–5,514,29–11,36mai sigur1,55–6,401,71–6,003,26–12,40
Cornere
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,735,6810,40sigur2,51–6,943,68–7,686,19–14,61mai sigur1,94–7,513,14–8,215,08–15,72
Posesie %
51%
44%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,7549,31sigur43,96–57,5442,52–56,09mai sigur42,29–59,2140,85–57,76
Pase
59%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție436407843sigur369–503341–474710–977mai sigur351–521323–491674–1013
Precizie pase %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,4569,50sigur61,42–69,4865,17–73,82mai sigur60,13–70,7763,86–75,13
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2411,7123,95sigur9,41–15,088,76–14,6518,17–29,73mai sigur8,65–15,848,01–15,4016,66–31,24
Ofsaiduri
43%
23%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,593,40sigur0,65–2,970,50–2,691,15–5,65mai sigur0,35–3,270,21–2,970,56–6,24
Cartonașe galbene
41%
23%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,573,27sigur0,65–2,740,44–2,701,09–5,45mai sigur0,38–3,010,15–2,990,53–6,00
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
45%
16%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,313,136,44sigur1,88–4,751,57–4,683,45–9,43mai sigur1,49–5,141,15–5,112,64–10,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,31 0,34–2,27 0,09–2,53 | 1,51 0,65–2,36 0,42–2,59 | 2,81 0,99–4,64 0,51–5,12 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,54 2,68–6,40 2,19–6,89 | 4,86 3,12–6,61 2,65–7,07 | 9,40 5,80–13,01 4,84–13,96 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total șuturi | 13,36 9,43–17,28 8,34–18,37 | 14,18 10,62–17,75 9,66–18,71 | 27,54 20,06–35,03 18,00–37,08 | 40% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,63 5,68–11,57 4,85–12,40 | 9,72 7,04–12,40 6,30–13,14 | 18,34 12,72–23,97 11,15–25,53 | 35% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,97 2,09–5,85 1,55–6,40 | 3,86 2,20–5,51 1,71–6,00 | 7,83 4,29–11,36 3,26–12,40 | 44% 14% 41% |
| Cornere | 4,73 2,51–6,94 1,94–7,51 | 5,68 3,68–7,68 3,14–8,21 | 10,40 6,19–14,61 5,08–15,72 | 33% 55% |
| Posesie % | 50,75 43,96–57,54 42,29–59,21 | 49,31 42,52–56,09 40,85–57,76 | — | 51% 44% |
| Pase | 436 369–503 351–521 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 59% 40% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,45 61,42–69,48 60,13–70,77 | 69,50 65,17–73,82 63,86–75,13 | — | 28% 68% |
| Faulturi | 12,24 9,41–15,08 8,65–15,84 | 11,71 8,76–14,65 8,01–15,40 | 23,95 18,17–29,73 16,66–31,24 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,81 0,65–2,97 0,35–3,27 | 1,59 0,50–2,69 0,21–2,97 | 3,40 1,15–5,65 0,56–6,24 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,70 0,65–2,74 0,38–3,01 | 1,57 0,44–2,70 0,15–2,99 | 3,27 1,09–5,45 0,53–6,00 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,31 1,88–4,75 1,49–5,14 | 3,13 1,57–4,68 1,15–5,11 | 6,44 3,45–9,43 2,64–10,25 | 45% 16% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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