Eredivisie·Etapa 15·
Eredivisie·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
21%
19%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,322,313,63sigur0,35–2,291,46–3,171,81–5,46mai sigur0,10–2,541,23–3,401,33–5,93
Șuturi pe poartă
22%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,376,3310,70sigur2,51–6,244,58–8,077,09–14,30mai sigur2,02–6,734,12–8,536,14–15,26
Total șuturi
21%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5016,3928,88sigur8,57–16,4212,82–19,9521,39–36,37mai sigur7,48–17,5111,86–20,9119,34–38,42
Șuturi din careu
23%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,4011,1219,51sigur5,46–11,348,44–13,8013,89–25,14mai sigur4,63–12,177,70–14,5412,32–26,70
Șuturi blocate
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,635,348,96sigur1,75–5,513,68–6,995,43–12,50mai sigur1,20–6,053,19–7,484,39–13,54
Cornere
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,725,6610,38sigur2,51–6,933,66–7,666,17–14,60mai sigur1,93–7,513,13–8,205,06–15,70
Posesie %
22%
75%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,8956,15sigur37,10–50,6849,37–62,94mai sigur35,43–52,3547,69–64,61
Pase
17%
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție410524934sigur343–478458–590801–1068mai sigur325–496440–608765–1104
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,7976,84sigur61,76–69,8272,51–81,16mai sigur60,47–71,1171,20–82,47
Faulturi
38%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,2510,0819,33sigur6,41–12,097,13–13,0213,55–25,11mai sigur5,66–12,846,39–13,7712,04–26,62
Ofsaiduri
48%
23%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,323,08sigur0,59–2,920,23–2,410,82–5,33mai sigur0,29–3,220,00–2,700,23–5,92
Cartonașe galbene
36%
26%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,412,75sigur0,29–2,390,29–2,540,58–4,93mai sigur0,02–2,650,00–2,840,02–5,49
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,060,13sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,250,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,380,00–0,76
Parade portar
54%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,923,147,06sigur2,48–5,351,58–4,694,06–10,05mai sigur2,09–5,741,16–5,123,25–10,86
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,32 0,35–2,29 0,10–2,54 | 2,31 1,46–3,17 1,23–3,40 | 3,63 1,81–5,46 1,33–5,93 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,37 2,51–6,24 2,02–6,73 | 6,33 4,58–8,07 4,12–8,53 | 10,70 7,09–14,30 6,14–15,26 | 22% 67% |
| Total șuturi | 12,50 8,57–16,42 7,48–17,51 | 16,39 12,82–19,95 11,86–20,91 | 28,88 21,39–36,37 19,34–38,42 | 21% 74% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,40 5,46–11,34 4,63–12,17 | 11,12 8,44–13,80 7,70–14,54 | 19,51 13,89–25,14 12,32–26,70 | 23% 69% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,63 1,75–5,51 1,20–6,05 | 5,34 3,68–6,99 3,19–7,48 | 8,96 5,43–12,50 4,39–13,54 | 23% 66% |
| Cornere | 4,72 2,51–6,93 1,93–7,51 | 5,66 3,66–7,66 3,13–8,20 | 10,38 6,17–14,60 5,06–15,70 | 33% 55% |
| Posesie % | 43,89 37,10–50,68 35,43–52,35 | 56,15 49,37–62,94 47,69–64,61 | — | 22% 75% |
| Pase | 410 343–478 325–496 | 524 458–590 440–608 | 934 801–1068 765–1104 | 17% 83% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,79 61,76–69,82 60,47–71,11 | 76,84 72,51–81,16 71,20–82,47 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 9,25 6,41–12,09 5,66–12,84 | 10,08 7,13–13,02 6,39–13,77 | 19,33 13,55–25,11 12,04–26,62 | 38% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,59–2,92 0,29–3,22 | 1,32 0,23–2,41 0,00–2,70 | 3,08 0,82–5,33 0,23–5,92 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,34 0,29–2,39 0,02–2,65 | 1,41 0,29–2,54 0,00–2,84 | 2,75 0,58–4,93 0,02–5,49 | 36% 26% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,06 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,38 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 3,92 2,48–5,35 2,09–5,74 | 3,14 1,58–4,69 1,16–5,12 | 7,06 4,06–10,05 3,25–10,86 | 54% 15% 31% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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