Eredivisie·Etapa 15·
Eredivisie·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
24%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,423,09sigur0,70–2,640,57–2,281,27–4,91mai sigur0,45–2,890,34–2,500,79–5,39
Șuturi pe poartă
49%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,344,9410,29sigur3,48–7,213,20–6,696,68–13,89mai sigur2,99–7,702,74–7,155,73–14,85
Total șuturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5613,7428,30sigur10,63–18,4810,18–17,3020,81–35,79mai sigur9,54–19,589,22–18,2618,76–37,84
Șuturi din careu
57%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,478,2217,69sigur6,53–12,415,54–10,9012,06–23,31mai sigur5,70–13,244,80–11,6410,50–24,88
Șuturi blocate
41%
15%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,843,947,78sigur1,96–5,722,29–5,604,25–11,32mai sigur1,41–6,271,80–6,093,21–12,35
Cornere
49%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,384,9310,30sigur3,16–7,592,93–6,936,09–14,52mai sigur2,59–8,162,40–7,464,98–15,63
Posesie %
41%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,6151,60sigur41,82–55,4044,82–58,39mai sigur40,15–57,0743,14–60,06
Pase
41%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție439465904sigur372–506398–531770–1038mai sigur354–524381–549735–1073
Precizie pase %
24%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,9373,79sigur64,90–72,9669,47–78,11mai sigur63,61–74,2668,16–79,42
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9611,8322,80sigur8,12–13,808,89–14,7817,01–28,58mai sigur7,37–14,558,14–15,5315,51–30,08
Ofsaiduri
41%
22%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,683,46sigur0,62–2,940,58–2,771,20–5,71mai sigur0,32–3,240,29–3,060,61–6,30
Cartonașe galbene
37%
22%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,803,50sigur0,65–2,750,67–2,931,32–5,68mai sigur0,39–3,020,38–3,220,77–6,24
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,090,18sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
36%
15%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,293,717,00sigur1,86–4,732,15–5,274,01–9,99mai sigur1,47–5,121,73–5,693,20–10,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,67 0,70–2,64 0,45–2,89 | 1,42 0,57–2,28 0,34–2,50 | 3,09 1,27–4,91 0,79–5,39 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,34 3,48–7,21 2,99–7,70 | 4,94 3,20–6,69 2,74–7,15 | 10,29 6,68–13,89 5,73–14,85 | 49% 39% |
| Total șuturi | 14,56 10,63–18,48 9,54–19,58 | 13,74 10,18–17,30 9,22–18,26 | 28,30 20,81–35,79 18,76–37,84 | 52% 40% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,47 6,53–12,41 5,70–13,24 | 8,22 5,54–10,90 4,80–11,64 | 17,69 12,06–23,31 10,50–24,88 | 57% 34% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,84 1,96–5,72 1,41–6,27 | 3,94 2,29–5,60 1,80–6,09 | 7,78 4,25–11,32 3,21–12,35 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Cornere | 5,38 3,16–7,59 2,59–8,16 | 4,93 2,93–6,93 2,40–7,46 | 10,30 6,09–14,52 4,98–15,63 | 49% 38% |
| Posesie % | 48,61 41,82–55,40 40,15–57,07 | 51,60 44,82–58,39 43,14–60,06 | — | 41% 55% |
| Pase | 439 372–506 354–524 | 465 398–531 381–549 | 904 770–1038 735–1073 | 41% 58% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,93 64,90–72,96 63,61–74,26 | 73,79 69,47–78,11 68,16–79,42 | — | 24% 71% |
| Faulturi | 10,96 8,12–13,80 7,37–14,55 | 11,83 8,89–14,78 8,14–15,53 | 22,80 17,01–28,58 15,51–30,08 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,78 0,62–2,94 0,32–3,24 | 1,68 0,58–2,77 0,29–3,06 | 3,46 1,20–5,71 0,61–6,30 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,70 0,65–2,75 0,39–3,02 | 1,80 0,67–2,93 0,38–3,22 | 3,50 1,32–5,68 0,77–6,24 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,29 1,86–4,73 1,47–5,12 | 3,71 2,15–5,27 1,73–5,69 | 7,00 4,01–9,99 3,20–10,81 | 36% 15% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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