Eredivisie·Etapa 16·
Eredivisie·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
23%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,363,21sigur0,88–2,820,51–2,221,39–5,04mai sigur0,63–3,070,28–2,450,91–5,51
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,754,5110,26sigur3,89–7,612,77–6,256,66–13,87mai sigur3,40–8,102,30–6,725,70–14,82
Total șuturi
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,5712,2229,79sigur13,65–21,508,66–15,7922,31–37,28mai sigur12,55–22,597,70–16,7420,26–39,33
Șuturi din careu
73%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,498,3019,79sigur8,55–14,445,62–10,9814,17–25,42mai sigur7,72–15,264,88–11,7212,60–26,98
Șuturi blocate
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,893,379,26sigur4,01–7,771,72–5,025,73–12,80mai sigur3,47–8,321,23–5,524,69–13,83
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,804,3011,10sigur4,58–9,012,30–6,306,88–15,31mai sigur4,01–9,581,77–6,845,78–16,42
Posesie %
80%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,0442,53sigur51,25–64,8335,74–49,31mai sigur49,58–66,5034,07–50,99
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție540387927sigur473–607320–453793–1060mai sigur454–625303–471757–1096
Precizie pase %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,3971,28sigur71,36–79,4266,96–75,61mai sigur70,07–80,7165,65–76,92
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9110,7020,61sigur7,07–12,747,76–13,6514,83–26,39mai sigur6,31–13,507,01–14,3913,32–27,90
Ofsaiduri
30%
24%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,703,01sigur0,15–2,470,61–2,790,76–5,27mai sigur0,00–2,770,32–3,080,17–5,86
Cartonașe galbene
29%
24%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,261,672,94sigur0,21–2,310,55–2,800,76–5,12mai sigur0,00–2,580,25–3,090,20–5,67
Cartonașe roșii
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,070,11sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,250,00–0,46mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,390,00–0,74
Parade portar
31%
15%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,174,007,17sigur1,73–4,602,44–5,564,18–10,16mai sigur1,34–4,992,02–5,983,36–10,97
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,85 0,88–2,82 0,63–3,07 | 1,36 0,51–2,22 0,28–2,45 | 3,21 1,39–5,04 0,91–5,51 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,75 3,89–7,61 3,40–8,10 | 4,51 2,77–6,25 2,30–6,72 | 10,26 6,66–13,87 5,70–14,82 | 59% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 17,57 13,65–21,50 12,55–22,59 | 12,22 8,66–15,79 7,70–16,74 | 29,79 22,31–37,28 20,26–39,33 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,49 8,55–14,44 7,72–15,26 | 8,30 5,62–10,98 4,88–11,72 | 19,79 14,17–25,42 12,60–26,98 | 73% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,89 4,01–7,77 3,47–8,32 | 3,37 1,72–5,02 1,23–5,52 | 9,26 5,73–12,80 4,69–13,83 | 75% 16% |
| Cornere | 6,80 4,58–9,01 4,01–9,58 | 4,30 2,30–6,30 1,77–6,84 | 11,10 6,88–15,31 5,78–16,42 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 58,04 51,25–64,83 49,58–66,50 | 42,53 35,74–49,31 34,07–50,99 | — | 80% 16% |
| Pase | 540 473–607 454–625 | 387 320–453 303–471 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,39 71,36–79,42 70,07–80,71 | 71,28 66,96–75,61 65,65–76,92 | — | 68% 28% |
| Faulturi | 9,91 7,07–12,74 6,31–13,50 | 10,70 7,76–13,65 7,01–14,39 | 20,61 14,83–26,39 13,32–27,90 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,31 0,15–2,47 0,00–2,77 | 1,70 0,61–2,79 0,32–3,08 | 3,01 0,76–5,27 0,17–5,86 | 30% 24% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,26 0,21–2,31 0,00–2,58 | 1,67 0,55–2,80 0,25–3,09 | 2,94 0,76–5,12 0,20–5,67 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,07 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,46 0,00–0,74 | 90% |
| Parade portar | 3,17 1,73–4,60 1,34–4,99 | 4,00 2,44–5,56 2,02–5,98 | 7,17 4,18–10,16 3,36–10,97 | 31% 15% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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