Eredivisie·Etapa 16·
Eredivisie·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,830,913,74sigur1,87–3,800,06–1,761,92–5,57mai sigur1,62–4,050,00–1,991,44–6,05
Șuturi pe poartă
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,233,3311,56sigur6,37–10,091,59–5,087,96–15,17mai sigur5,88–10,581,12–5,547,00–16,12
Total șuturi
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție23,469,0532,51sigur19,54–27,385,48–12,6125,02–39,99mai sigur18,44–28,484,52–13,5722,97–42,04
Șuturi din careu
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,635,8321,46sigur12,69–18,573,15–8,5115,84–27,08mai sigur11,86–19,402,41–9,2514,27–28,65
Șuturi blocate
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,232,748,97sigur4,35–8,121,09–4,395,44–12,51mai sigur3,81–8,660,59–4,884,40–13,54
Cornere
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,253,0511,29sigur6,03–10,461,05–5,057,08–15,51mai sigur5,46–11,030,51–5,585,97–16,61
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,7038,44sigur53,91–67,4931,65–45,22mai sigur52,24–69,1629,98–46,89
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție589371959sigur521–656304–437825–1093mai sigur503–674287–455790–1128
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,2468,76sigur73,21–81,2764,43–73,08mai sigur71,92–82,5663,12–74,39
Faulturi
47%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,619,4819,09sigur6,77–12,456,53–12,4213,31–24,87mai sigur6,02–13,215,78–13,1711,80–26,37
Ofsaiduri
42%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,553,26sigur0,55–2,870,46–2,641,00–5,51mai sigur0,25–3,170,17–2,930,42–6,10
Cartonașe galbene
22%
23%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,031,792,82sigur0,00–2,080,66–2,920,64–5,00mai sigur0,00–2,340,37–3,210,09–5,56
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,090,12sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,270,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,410,00–0,75
Parade portar
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,425,127,54sigur0,98–3,853,56–6,684,54–10,53mai sigur0,59–4,243,14–7,103,73–11,34
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,83 1,87–3,80 1,62–4,05 | 0,91 0,06–1,76 0,00–1,99 | 3,74 1,92–5,57 1,44–6,05 | 77% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 8,23 6,37–10,09 5,88–10,58 | 3,33 1,59–5,08 1,12–5,54 | 11,56 7,96–15,17 7,00–16,12 | 91% |
| Total șuturi | 23,46 19,54–27,38 18,44–28,48 | 9,05 5,48–12,61 4,52–13,57 | 32,51 25,02–39,99 22,97–42,04 | 99% |
| Șuturi din careu | 15,63 12,69–18,57 11,86–19,40 | 5,83 3,15–8,51 2,41–9,25 | 21,46 15,84–27,08 14,27–28,65 | 98% |
| Șuturi blocate | 6,23 4,35–8,12 3,81–8,66 | 2,74 1,09–4,39 0,59–4,88 | 8,97 5,44–12,51 4,40–13,54 | 84% |
| Cornere | 8,25 6,03–10,46 5,46–11,03 | 3,05 1,05–5,05 0,51–5,58 | 11,29 7,08–15,51 5,97–16,61 | 92% |
| Posesie % | 60,70 53,91–67,49 52,24–69,16 | 38,44 31,65–45,22 29,98–46,89 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 589 521–656 503–674 | 371 304–437 287–455 | 959 825–1093 790–1128 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,24 73,21–81,27 71,92–82,56 | 68,76 64,43–73,08 63,12–74,39 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 9,61 6,77–12,45 6,02–13,21 | 9,48 6,53–12,42 5,78–13,17 | 19,09 13,31–24,87 11,80–26,37 | 47% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,71 0,55–2,87 0,25–3,17 | 1,55 0,46–2,64 0,17–2,93 | 3,26 1,00–5,51 0,42–6,10 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,03 0,00–2,08 0,00–2,34 | 1,79 0,66–2,92 0,37–3,21 | 2,82 0,64–5,00 0,09–5,56 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,12 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,75 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 2,42 0,98–3,85 0,59–4,24 | 5,12 3,56–6,68 3,14–7,10 | 7,54 4,54–10,53 3,73–11,34 | 79% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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