Eredivisie·Etapa 16·
Eredivisie·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
24%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,342,98sigur0,67–2,610,48–2,191,15–4,80mai sigur0,42–2,860,25–2,420,67–5,28
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,904,6710,57sigur4,04–7,762,93–6,416,96–14,17mai sigur3,55–8,252,46–6,886,01–15,13
Total șuturi
57%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,7714,2730,05sigur11,85–19,7010,71–17,8422,56–37,53mai sigur10,76–20,799,75–18,7920,51–39,59
Șuturi din careu
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,219,5919,80sigur7,27–13,156,91–12,2714,17–25,42mai sigur6,44–13,986,17–13,0112,61–26,99
Șuturi blocate
49%
14%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,163,687,83sigur2,27–6,042,03–5,334,30–11,37mai sigur1,73–6,581,53–5,823,26–12,41
Cornere
57%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,105,0311,13sigur3,89–8,323,03–7,036,92–15,35mai sigur3,32–8,892,50–7,565,81–16,45
Posesie %
47%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7250,10sigur42,93–56,5143,32–56,89mai sigur41,26–58,1841,64–58,56
Pase
51%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție438433871sigur371–505366–499737–1004mai sigur352–523349–517701–1040
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,3070,37sigur63,27–71,3366,05–74,69mai sigur61,98–72,6264,74–76,00
Faulturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7712,5923,36sigur7,93–13,619,65–15,5417,58–29,14mai sigur7,18–14,368,90–16,2816,07–30,65
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,583,25sigur0,51–2,830,49–2,671,00–5,51mai sigur0,21–3,140,20–2,960,41–6,10
Cartonașe galbene
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,793,21sigur0,37–2,470,66–2,921,03–5,39mai sigur0,11–2,740,37–3,210,47–5,95
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
35%
15%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,413,907,31sigur1,97–4,842,34–5,464,31–10,30mai sigur1,58–5,231,92–5,883,50–11,11
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,64 0,67–2,61 0,42–2,86 | 1,34 0,48–2,19 0,25–2,42 | 2,98 1,15–4,80 0,67–5,28 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,90 4,04–7,76 3,55–8,25 | 4,67 2,93–6,41 2,46–6,88 | 10,57 6,96–14,17 6,01–15,13 | 59% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 15,77 11,85–19,70 10,76–20,79 | 14,27 10,71–17,84 9,75–18,79 | 30,05 22,56–37,53 20,51–39,59 | 57% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,21 7,27–13,15 6,44–13,98 | 9,59 6,91–12,27 6,17–13,01 | 19,80 14,17–25,42 12,61–26,99 | 51% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,16 2,27–6,04 1,73–6,58 | 3,68 2,03–5,33 1,53–5,82 | 7,83 4,30–11,37 3,26–12,41 | 49% 14% 36% |
| Cornere | 6,10 3,89–8,32 3,32–8,89 | 5,03 3,03–7,03 2,50–7,56 | 11,13 6,92–15,35 5,81–16,45 | 57% 32% |
| Posesie % | 49,72 42,93–56,51 41,26–58,18 | 50,10 43,32–56,89 41,64–58,56 | — | 47% 49% |
| Pase | 438 371–505 352–523 | 433 366–499 349–517 | 871 737–1004 701–1040 | 51% 48% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,30 63,27–71,33 61,98–72,62 | 70,37 66,05–74,69 64,74–76,00 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 10,77 7,93–13,61 7,18–14,36 | 12,59 9,65–15,54 8,90–16,28 | 23,36 17,58–29,14 16,07–30,65 | 32% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,67 0,51–2,83 0,21–3,14 | 1,58 0,49–2,67 0,20–2,96 | 3,25 1,00–5,51 0,41–6,10 | 40% 23% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,42 0,37–2,47 0,11–2,74 | 1,79 0,66–2,92 0,37–3,21 | 3,21 1,03–5,39 0,47–5,95 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,41 1,97–4,84 1,58–5,23 | 3,90 2,34–5,46 1,92–5,88 | 7,31 4,31–10,30 3,50–11,11 | 35% 15% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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