Eredivisie·Etapa 17·
Eredivisie·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
17%
19%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,092,233,32sigur0,12–2,061,37–3,081,49–5,14mai sigur0,00–2,311,15–3,311,01–5,62
Șuturi pe poartă
15%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,516,229,73sigur1,65–5,384,48–7,966,13–13,34mai sigur1,16–5,874,01–8,435,17–14,29
Total șuturi
14%
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4016,5727,97sigur7,47–15,3213,01–20,1420,49–35,46mai sigur6,38–16,4212,05–21,1018,44–37,51
Șuturi din careu
17%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,4811,1218,60sigur4,54–10,428,44–13,8012,98–24,22mai sigur3,71–11,257,70–14,5411,41–25,79
Șuturi blocate
20%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,984,757,73sigur1,10–4,863,10–6,404,20–11,27mai sigur0,56–5,412,61–6,903,16–12,30
Cornere
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,296,1810,47sigur2,08–6,514,17–8,186,26–14,68mai sigur1,51–7,083,64–8,715,15–15,79
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție38,6561,46sigur31,86–45,4454,68–68,25mai sigur30,19–47,1153,01–69,92
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție358570928sigur291–425503–636794–1061mai sigur273–443486–654758–1097
Precizie pase %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,8478,62sigur60,81–68,8774,29–82,94mai sigur59,52–70,1772,98–84,25
Faulturi
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3110,6421,95sigur8,47–14,147,70–13,5916,17–27,73mai sigur7,71–14,906,95–14,3314,66–29,24
Ofsaiduri
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,903,62sigur0,55–2,870,81–2,991,36–5,87mai sigur0,25–3,180,52–3,280,77–6,46
Cartonașe galbene
35%
23%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,723,29sigur0,52–2,620,60–2,851,12–5,47mai sigur0,26–2,890,30–3,140,56–6,03
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
64%
13%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,102,636,73sigur2,67–5,541,07–4,183,74–9,72mai sigur2,28–5,930,65–4,612,93–10,53
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,09 0,12–2,06 0,00–2,31 | 2,23 1,37–3,08 1,15–3,31 | 3,32 1,49–5,14 1,01–5,62 | 17% 19% 63% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,51 1,65–5,38 1,16–5,87 | 6,22 4,48–7,96 4,01–8,43 | 9,73 6,13–13,34 5,17–14,29 | 15% 76% |
| Total șuturi | 11,40 7,47–15,32 6,38–16,42 | 16,57 13,01–20,14 12,05–21,10 | 27,97 20,49–35,46 18,44–37,51 | 14% 81% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,48 4,54–10,42 3,71–11,25 | 11,12 8,44–13,80 7,70–14,54 | 18,60 12,98–24,22 11,41–25,79 | 17% 77% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,98 1,10–4,86 0,56–5,41 | 4,75 3,10–6,40 2,61–6,90 | 7,73 4,20–11,27 3,16–12,30 | 20% 68% |
| Cornere | 4,29 2,08–6,51 1,51–7,08 | 6,18 4,17–8,18 3,64–8,71 | 10,47 6,26–14,68 5,15–15,79 | 23% 66% |
| Posesie % | 38,65 31,86–45,44 30,19–47,11 | 61,46 54,68–68,25 53,01–69,92 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 358 291–425 273–443 | 570 503–636 486–654 | 928 794–1061 758–1097 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,84 60,81–68,87 59,52–70,17 | 78,62 74,29–82,94 72,98–84,25 | — | 96% |
| Faulturi | 11,31 8,47–14,14 7,71–14,90 | 10,64 7,70–13,59 6,95–14,33 | 21,95 16,17–27,73 14,66–29,24 | 51% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,71 0,55–2,87 0,25–3,18 | 1,90 0,81–2,99 0,52–3,28 | 3,62 1,36–5,87 0,77–6,46 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,57 0,52–2,62 0,26–2,89 | 1,72 0,60–2,85 0,30–3,14 | 3,29 1,12–5,47 0,56–6,03 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 4,10 2,67–5,54 2,28–5,93 | 2,63 1,07–4,18 0,65–4,61 | 6,73 3,74–9,72 2,93–10,53 | 64% 13% 22% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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