Eredivisie·Etapa 17·
Eredivisie·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
29%
24%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,301,733,03sigur0,34–2,270,88–2,581,21–4,86mai sigur0,09–2,520,65–2,810,73–5,34
Șuturi pe poartă
26%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,536,0810,61sigur2,66–6,394,34–7,837,01–14,22mai sigur2,17–6,883,88–8,296,05–15,17
Total șuturi
27%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9616,8830,84sigur10,04–17,8913,31–20,4423,35–38,33mai sigur8,95–18,9812,36–21,4021,30–40,38
Șuturi din careu
30%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,2611,0920,35sigur6,32–12,208,41–13,7714,73–25,97mai sigur5,49–13,037,67–14,5113,16–27,54
Șuturi blocate
29%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,764,868,62sigur1,87–5,643,21–6,515,08–12,15mai sigur1,33–6,182,71–7,014,05–13,19
Cornere
26%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,806,3911,18sigur2,58–7,014,39–8,396,97–15,40mai sigur2,01–7,583,85–8,925,86–16,50
Posesie %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,8457,95sigur35,05–48,6351,16–64,73mai sigur33,38–50,3049,49–66,40
Pase
16%
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție394515910sigur327–462449–582776–1043mai sigur309–480431–599740–1079
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,7476,74sigur61,71–69,7772,42–81,07mai sigur60,42–71,0771,11–82,38
Faulturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0710,8322,91sigur9,23–14,917,89–13,7817,12–28,69mai sigur8,48–15,677,14–14,5315,62–30,19
Ofsaiduri
51%
24%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,172,91sigur0,58–2,900,07–2,260,65–5,16mai sigur0,28–3,200,00–2,550,06–5,75
Cartonașe galbene
37%
24%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,573,10sigur0,48–2,580,44–2,700,92–5,27mai sigur0,21–2,840,15–2,990,36–5,83
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,070,16sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,260,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,390,00–0,79
Parade portar
57%
14%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,163,157,31sigur2,73–5,601,59–4,704,32–10,30mai sigur2,34–5,991,17–5,133,51–11,12
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,30 0,34–2,27 0,09–2,52 | 1,73 0,88–2,58 0,65–2,81 | 3,03 1,21–4,86 0,73–5,34 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,53 2,66–6,39 2,17–6,88 | 6,08 4,34–7,83 3,88–8,29 | 10,61 7,01–14,22 6,05–15,17 | 26% 63% |
| Total șuturi | 13,96 10,04–17,89 8,95–18,98 | 16,88 13,31–20,44 12,36–21,40 | 30,84 23,35–38,33 21,30–40,38 | 27% 67% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,26 6,32–12,20 5,49–13,03 | 11,09 8,41–13,77 7,67–14,51 | 20,35 14,73–25,97 13,16–27,54 | 30% 62% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,76 1,87–5,64 1,33–6,18 | 4,86 3,21–6,51 2,71–7,01 | 8,62 5,08–12,15 4,05–13,19 | 29% 58% |
| Cornere | 4,80 2,58–7,01 2,01–7,58 | 6,39 4,39–8,39 3,85–8,92 | 11,18 6,97–15,40 5,86–16,50 | 26% 63% |
| Posesie % | 41,84 35,05–48,63 33,38–50,30 | 57,95 51,16–64,73 49,49–66,40 | — | 16% 81% |
| Pase | 394 327–462 309–480 | 515 449–582 431–599 | 910 776–1043 740–1079 | 16% 84% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,74 61,71–69,77 60,42–71,07 | 76,74 72,42–81,07 71,11–82,38 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 12,07 9,23–14,91 8,48–15,67 | 10,83 7,89–13,78 7,14–14,53 | 22,91 17,12–28,69 15,62–30,19 | 56% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,17 0,07–2,26 0,00–2,55 | 2,91 0,65–5,16 0,06–5,75 | 51% 24% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,53 0,48–2,58 0,21–2,84 | 1,57 0,44–2,70 0,15–2,99 | 3,10 0,92–5,27 0,36–5,83 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 4,16 2,73–5,60 2,34–5,99 | 3,15 1,59–4,70 1,17–5,13 | 7,31 4,32–10,30 3,51–11,12 | 57% 14% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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