Eredivisie·Etapa 18·
Eredivisie·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
24%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,413,07sigur0,69–2,630,55–2,261,24–4,89mai sigur0,44–2,880,32–2,490,77–5,37
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
13%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,944,589,52sigur3,08–6,812,84–6,325,92–13,13mai sigur2,59–7,302,37–6,794,96–14,08
Total șuturi
56%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9813,6428,63sigur11,06–18,9110,08–17,2121,14–36,12mai sigur9,97–20,009,12–18,1719,09–38,17
Șuturi din careu
49%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,739,2819,02sigur6,79–12,676,60–11,9613,39–24,64mai sigur5,96–13,505,87–12,7011,83–26,21
Șuturi blocate
50%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,504,008,50sigur2,61–6,382,35–5,664,96–12,04mai sigur2,07–6,921,86–6,153,93–13,07
Cornere
46%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,615,4011,00sigur3,40–7,823,40–7,406,79–15,22mai sigur2,82–8,402,86–7,935,68–16,32
Posesie %
58%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,3347,82sigur45,54–59,1241,03–54,60mai sigur43,87–60,7939,36–56,27
Pase
65%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție456411867sigur389–523344–477733–1001mai sigur371–542327–495698–1036
Precizie pase %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,2070,61sigur64,17–72,2366,29–74,94mai sigur62,87–73,5264,98–76,24
Faulturi
30%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2212,1322,35sigur7,38–13,069,18–15,0716,57–28,13mai sigur6,63–13,828,44–15,8215,06–29,64
Ofsaiduri
41%
24%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,513,13sigur0,47–2,790,41–2,600,88–5,39mai sigur0,16–3,090,12–2,890,29–5,97
Cartonașe galbene
31%
24%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,652,96sigur0,26–2,360,52–2,780,78–5,14mai sigur0,00–2,630,23–3,070,22–5,69
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
35%
16%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,053,506,55sigur1,61–4,481,95–5,063,56–9,54mai sigur1,22–4,871,52–5,482,75–10,36
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,66 0,69–2,63 0,44–2,88 | 1,41 0,55–2,26 0,32–2,49 | 3,07 1,24–4,89 0,77–5,37 | 44% 24% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,94 3,08–6,81 2,59–7,30 | 4,58 2,84–6,32 2,37–6,79 | 9,52 5,92–13,13 4,96–14,08 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total șuturi | 14,98 11,06–18,91 9,97–20,00 | 13,64 10,08–17,21 9,12–18,17 | 28,63 21,14–36,12 19,09–38,17 | 56% 37% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,73 6,79–12,67 5,96–13,50 | 9,28 6,60–11,96 5,87–12,70 | 19,02 13,39–24,64 11,83–26,21 | 49% 41% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,50 2,61–6,38 2,07–6,92 | 4,00 2,35–5,66 1,86–6,15 | 8,50 4,96–12,04 3,93–13,07 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,61 3,40–7,82 2,82–8,40 | 5,40 3,40–7,40 2,86–7,93 | 11,00 6,79–15,22 5,68–16,32 | 46% 41% |
| Posesie % | 52,33 45,54–59,12 43,87–60,79 | 47,82 41,03–54,60 39,36–56,27 | — | 58% 37% |
| Pase | 456 389–523 371–542 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 867 733–1001 698–1036 | 65% 35% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,20 64,17–72,23 62,87–73,52 | 70,61 66,29–74,94 64,98–76,24 | — | 35% 60% |
| Faulturi | 10,22 7,38–13,06 6,63–13,82 | 12,13 9,18–15,07 8,44–15,82 | 22,35 16,57–28,13 15,06–29,64 | 30% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,63 0,47–2,79 0,16–3,09 | 1,51 0,41–2,60 0,12–2,89 | 3,13 0,88–5,39 0,29–5,97 | 41% 24% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,31 0,26–2,36 0,00–2,63 | 1,65 0,52–2,78 0,23–3,07 | 2,96 0,78–5,14 0,22–5,69 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,05 1,61–4,48 1,22–4,87 | 3,50 1,95–5,06 1,52–5,48 | 6,55 3,56–9,54 2,75–10,36 | 35% 16% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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