Eredivisie·Etapa 18·
Eredivisie·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,491,573,06sigur0,52–2,460,71–2,421,24–4,88mai sigur0,27–2,710,49–2,650,76–5,36
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,884,799,67sigur3,01–6,743,05–6,536,06–13,27mai sigur2,52–7,232,58–7,005,11–14,23
Total șuturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5013,1627,66sigur10,57–18,429,60–16,7320,17–35,15mai sigur9,48–19,528,64–17,6818,12–37,20
Șuturi din careu
45%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,129,1318,25sigur6,18–12,066,45–11,8112,63–23,87mai sigur5,35–12,895,71–12,5511,06–25,44
Șuturi blocate
58%
13%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,773,698,46sigur2,89–6,652,04–5,344,93–12,00mai sigur2,35–7,201,55–5,843,89–13,03
Cornere
50%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,635,1110,74sigur3,42–7,843,11–7,116,53–14,95mai sigur2,84–8,422,58–7,645,42–16,06
Posesie %
64%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,8546,57sigur47,06–60,6439,79–53,36mai sigur45,39–62,3138,12–55,03
Pase
72%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție474404878sigur407–541338–471744–1012mai sigur389–559320–488709–1048
Precizie pase %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,6270,49sigur64,59–72,6566,17–74,82mai sigur63,30–73,9464,86–76,13
Faulturi
31%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,1410,8219,96sigur6,30–11,987,88–13,7714,18–25,74mai sigur5,55–12,737,13–14,5112,67–27,25
Ofsaiduri
38%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,272,60sigur0,17–2,490,18–2,360,35–4,86mai sigur0,00–2,800,00–2,650,00–5,45
Cartonașe galbene
29%
24%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,221,632,86sigur0,17–2,270,51–2,760,68–5,04mai sigur0,00–2,540,21–3,050,12–5,59
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,070,11sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,260,00–0,46mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,390,00–0,74
Parade portar
39%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,323,516,83sigur1,89–4,761,95–5,073,84–9,82mai sigur1,50–5,141,53–5,493,03–10,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,49 0,52–2,46 0,27–2,71 | 1,57 0,71–2,42 0,49–2,65 | 3,06 1,24–4,88 0,76–5,36 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,88 3,01–6,74 2,52–7,23 | 4,79 3,05–6,53 2,58–7,00 | 9,67 6,06–13,27 5,11–14,23 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 14,50 10,57–18,42 9,48–19,52 | 13,16 9,60–16,73 8,64–17,68 | 27,66 20,17–35,15 18,12–37,20 | 56% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,12 6,18–12,06 5,35–12,89 | 9,13 6,45–11,81 5,71–12,55 | 18,25 12,63–23,87 11,06–25,44 | 45% 45% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,77 2,89–6,65 2,35–7,20 | 3,69 2,04–5,34 1,55–5,84 | 8,46 4,93–12,00 3,89–13,03 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,63 3,42–7,84 2,84–8,42 | 5,11 3,11–7,11 2,58–7,64 | 10,74 6,53–14,95 5,42–16,06 | 50% 38% |
| Posesie % | 53,85 47,06–60,64 45,39–62,31 | 46,57 39,79–53,36 38,12–55,03 | — | 64% 31% |
| Pase | 474 407–541 389–559 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 878 744–1012 709–1048 | 72% 28% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,62 64,59–72,65 63,30–73,94 | 70,49 66,17–74,82 64,86–76,13 | — | 38% 57% |
| Faulturi | 9,14 6,30–11,98 5,55–12,73 | 10,82 7,88–13,77 7,13–14,51 | 19,96 14,18–25,74 12,67–27,25 | 31% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,33 0,17–2,49 0,00–2,80 | 1,27 0,18–2,36 0,00–2,65 | 2,60 0,35–4,86 0,00–5,45 | 38% 26% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,22 0,17–2,27 0,00–2,54 | 1,63 0,51–2,76 0,21–3,05 | 2,86 0,68–5,04 0,12–5,59 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,46 0,00–0,74 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 3,32 1,89–4,76 1,50–5,14 | 3,51 1,95–5,07 1,53–5,49 | 6,83 3,84–9,82 3,03–10,64 | 39% 16% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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