Eredivisie·Etapa 19·
Eredivisie·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
65%
19%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,321,083,40sigur1,35–3,290,22–1,931,58–5,22mai sigur1,10–3,540,00–2,161,10–5,70
Șuturi pe poartă
75%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,874,1911,06sigur5,01–8,742,45–5,937,46–14,67mai sigur4,52–9,231,98–6,406,50–15,62
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,6911,5132,20sigur16,77–24,627,94–15,0724,71–39,69mai sigur15,68–25,716,99–16,0322,66–41,74
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,517,3320,83sigur10,57–16,454,64–10,0115,21–26,46mai sigur9,74–17,283,91–10,7413,64–28,02
Șuturi blocate
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,103,329,42sigur4,21–7,981,67–4,985,88–12,95mai sigur3,67–8,521,18–5,474,85–13,99
Cornere
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,613,8211,42sigur5,39–9,821,82–5,827,21–15,64mai sigur4,82–10,391,28–6,356,10–16,74
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,3040,44sigur52,51–66,0933,66–47,23mai sigur50,84–67,7631,99–48,90
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție545375920sigur478–613308–441786–1054mai sigur460–631291–459751–1089
Precizie pase %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,1670,98sigur73,13–81,1966,65–75,30mai sigur71,84–82,4865,34–76,61
Faulturi
48%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5210,2620,78sigur7,68–13,357,32–13,2115,00–26,56mai sigur6,92–14,116,57–13,9613,49–28,07
Ofsaiduri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,593,18sigur0,43–2,750,50–2,680,93–5,44mai sigur0,13–3,050,21–2,970,34–6,02
Cartonașe galbene
26%
24%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,181,742,92sigur0,14–2,230,61–2,870,74–5,10mai sigur0,00–2,500,32–3,160,19–5,66
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,260,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
20%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,914,687,60sigur1,48–4,353,13–6,244,60–10,59mai sigur1,09–4,742,70–6,663,79–11,40
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,32 1,35–3,29 1,10–3,54 | 1,08 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 3,40 1,58–5,22 1,10–5,70 | 65% 19% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,87 5,01–8,74 4,52–9,23 | 4,19 2,45–5,93 1,98–6,40 | 11,06 7,46–14,67 6,50–15,62 | 75% 17% |
| Total șuturi | 20,69 16,77–24,62 15,68–25,71 | 11,51 7,94–15,07 6,99–16,03 | 32,20 24,71–39,69 22,66–41,74 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,51 10,57–16,45 9,74–17,28 | 7,33 4,64–10,01 3,91–10,74 | 20,83 15,21–26,46 13,64–28,02 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 6,10 4,21–7,98 3,67–8,52 | 3,32 1,67–4,98 1,18–5,47 | 9,42 5,88–12,95 4,85–13,99 | 77% 14% |
| Cornere | 7,61 5,39–9,82 4,82–10,39 | 3,82 1,82–5,82 1,28–6,35 | 11,42 7,21–15,64 6,10–16,74 | 84% |
| Posesie % | 59,30 52,51–66,09 50,84–67,76 | 40,44 33,66–47,23 31,99–48,90 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 545 478–613 460–631 | 375 308–441 291–459 | 920 786–1054 751–1089 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,16 73,13–81,19 71,84–82,48 | 70,98 66,65–75,30 65,34–76,61 | — | 77% 19% |
| Faulturi | 10,52 7,68–13,35 6,92–14,11 | 10,26 7,32–13,21 6,57–13,96 | 20,78 15,00–26,56 13,49–28,07 | 48% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,05 | 1,59 0,50–2,68 0,21–2,97 | 3,18 0,93–5,44 0,34–6,02 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,18 0,14–2,23 0,00–2,50 | 1,74 0,61–2,87 0,32–3,16 | 2,92 0,74–5,10 0,19–5,66 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,91 1,48–4,35 1,09–4,74 | 4,68 3,13–6,24 2,70–6,66 | 7,60 4,60–10,59 3,79–11,40 | 20% 68% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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