Eredivisie·Etapa 21·
Eredivisie·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
20%
20%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,162,163,32sigur0,19–2,131,30–3,011,49–5,14mai sigur0,00–2,381,07–3,241,01–5,62
Șuturi pe poartă
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,216,0610,27sigur2,35–6,074,31–7,806,66–13,87mai sigur1,86–6,563,85–8,265,71–14,83
Total șuturi
25%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3716,5629,93sigur9,44–17,2913,00–20,1322,44–37,42mai sigur8,35–18,3812,04–21,0820,39–39,47
Șuturi din careu
20%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,2311,4819,71sigur5,29–11,188,79–14,1614,09–25,33mai sigur4,46–12,018,06–14,8912,52–26,90
Șuturi blocate
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,234,118,34sigur2,35–6,112,45–5,764,80–11,87mai sigur1,80–6,651,96–6,253,76–12,91
Cornere
27%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,566,0410,60sigur2,34–6,774,04–8,046,39–14,81mai sigur1,77–7,343,51–8,585,28–15,92
Posesie %
42%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,5451,15sigur41,75–55,3344,36–57,93mai sigur40,08–57,0042,69–59,60
Pase
52%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție440434874sigur373–508367–500741–1008mai sigur355–526350–518705–1044
Precizie pase %
26%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,9771,38sigur62,94–71,0067,06–75,71mai sigur61,65–72,3065,75–77,02
Faulturi
65%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3610,0022,36sigur9,52–15,197,06–12,9516,58–28,14mai sigur8,76–15,956,31–13,7015,07–29,64
Ofsaiduri
32%
23%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,451,723,17sigur0,29–2,610,63–2,820,92–5,42mai sigur0,00–2,910,34–3,110,33–6,01
Cartonașe galbene
44%
24%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,373,00sigur0,58–2,680,24–2,500,82–5,18mai sigur0,32–2,950,00–2,790,26–5,74
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,070,13sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,260,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,390,00–0,76
Parade portar
60%
14%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,263,057,32sigur2,83–5,701,50–4,614,33–10,31mai sigur2,44–6,091,07–5,043,51–11,12
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,16 0,19–2,13 0,00–2,38 | 2,16 1,30–3,01 1,07–3,24 | 3,32 1,49–5,14 1,01–5,62 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,21 2,35–6,07 1,86–6,56 | 6,06 4,31–7,80 3,85–8,26 | 10,27 6,66–13,87 5,71–14,83 | 23% 66% |
| Total șuturi | 13,37 9,44–17,29 8,35–18,38 | 16,56 13,00–20,13 12,04–21,08 | 29,93 22,44–37,42 20,39–39,47 | 25% 69% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,23 5,29–11,18 4,46–12,01 | 11,48 8,79–14,16 8,06–14,89 | 19,71 14,09–25,33 12,52–26,90 | 20% 73% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,23 2,35–6,11 1,80–6,65 | 4,11 2,45–5,76 1,96–6,25 | 8,34 4,80–11,87 3,76–12,91 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Cornere | 4,56 2,34–6,77 1,77–7,34 | 6,04 4,04–8,04 3,51–8,58 | 10,60 6,39–14,81 5,28–15,92 | 27% 62% |
| Posesie % | 48,54 41,75–55,33 40,08–57,00 | 51,15 44,36–57,93 42,69–59,60 | — | 42% 54% |
| Pase | 440 373–508 355–526 | 434 367–500 350–518 | 874 741–1008 705–1044 | 52% 48% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,97 62,94–71,00 61,65–72,30 | 71,38 67,06–75,71 65,75–77,02 | — | 26% 69% |
| Faulturi | 12,36 9,52–15,19 8,76–15,95 | 10,00 7,06–12,95 6,31–13,70 | 22,36 16,58–28,14 15,07–29,64 | 65% 27% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,45 0,29–2,61 0,00–2,91 | 1,72 0,63–2,82 0,34–3,11 | 3,17 0,92–5,42 0,33–6,01 | 32% 23% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,63 0,58–2,68 0,32–2,95 | 1,37 0,24–2,50 0,00–2,79 | 3,00 0,82–5,18 0,26–5,74 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 4,26 2,83–5,70 2,44–6,09 | 3,05 1,50–4,61 1,07–5,04 | 7,32 4,33–10,31 3,51–11,12 | 60% 14% 26% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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