Eredivisie·Etapa 23·
Eredivisie·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,420,823,23sigur1,45–3,380,00–1,671,41–5,05mai sigur1,20–3,640,00–1,900,93–5,53
Șuturi pe poartă
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,192,9510,15sigur5,33–9,061,21–4,706,54–13,75mai sigur4,84–9,550,74–5,165,59–14,71
Total șuturi
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție21,808,6530,45sigur17,88–25,735,09–12,2122,97–37,94mai sigur16,79–26,824,13–13,1720,91–39,99
Șuturi din careu
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,206,1020,30sigur11,25–17,143,42–8,7814,68–25,92mai sigur10,43–17,972,68–9,5213,11–27,49
Șuturi blocate
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,722,267,98sigur3,84–7,600,61–3,914,44–11,51mai sigur3,29–8,150,11–4,403,41–12,55
Cornere
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,653,2911,94sigur6,44–10,861,29–5,297,72–16,15mai sigur5,86–11,440,76–5,826,62–17,26
Posesie %
97%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,9334,00sigur59,14–72,7227,22–40,79mai sigur57,47–74,3925,54–42,46
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție608331939sigur541–675264–397805–1072mai sigur522–693247–415769–1108
Precizie pase %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție80,0467,15sigur76,01–84,0662,83–71,48mai sigur74,71–85,3661,52–72,79
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8211,4422,27sigur7,99–13,668,50–14,3916,48–28,05mai sigur7,23–14,427,75–15,1414,98–29,55
Ofsaiduri
46%
22%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,533,39sigur0,71–3,030,43–2,621,14–5,64mai sigur0,40–3,330,14–2,910,55–6,23
Cartonașe galbene
23%
22%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,171,913,08sigur0,12–2,220,78–3,040,90–5,26mai sigur0,00–2,490,49–3,330,34–5,81
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,044,816,86sigur0,61–3,483,26–6,373,87–9,85mai sigur0,22–3,872,83–6,793,05–10,66
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,42 1,45–3,38 1,20–3,64 | 0,82 0,00–1,67 0,00–1,90 | 3,23 1,41–5,05 0,93–5,53 | 73% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,19 5,33–9,06 4,84–9,55 | 2,95 1,21–4,70 0,74–5,16 | 10,15 6,54–13,75 5,59–14,71 | 88% |
| Total șuturi | 21,80 17,88–25,73 16,79–26,82 | 8,65 5,09–12,21 4,13–13,17 | 30,45 22,97–37,94 20,91–39,99 | 99% |
| Șuturi din careu | 14,20 11,25–17,14 10,43–17,97 | 6,10 3,42–8,78 2,68–9,52 | 20,30 14,68–25,92 13,11–27,49 | 96% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,72 3,84–7,60 3,29–8,15 | 2,26 0,61–3,91 0,11–4,40 | 7,98 4,44–11,51 3,41–12,55 | 86% |
| Cornere | 8,65 6,44–10,86 5,86–11,44 | 3,29 1,29–5,29 0,76–5,82 | 11,94 7,72–16,15 6,62–17,26 | 93% |
| Posesie % | 65,93 59,14–72,72 57,47–74,39 | 34,00 27,22–40,79 25,54–42,46 | — | 97% |
| Pase | 608 541–675 522–693 | 331 264–397 247–415 | 939 805–1072 769–1108 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 80,04 76,01–84,06 74,71–85,36 | 67,15 62,83–71,48 61,52–72,79 | — | 94% |
| Faulturi | 10,82 7,99–13,66 7,23–14,42 | 11,44 8,50–14,39 7,75–15,14 | 22,27 16,48–28,05 14,98–29,55 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,87 0,71–3,03 0,40–3,33 | 1,53 0,43–2,62 0,14–2,91 | 3,39 1,14–5,64 0,55–6,23 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,17 0,12–2,22 0,00–2,49 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,08 0,90–5,26 0,34–5,81 | 23% 22% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,04 0,61–3,48 0,22–3,87 | 4,81 3,26–6,37 2,83–6,79 | 6,86 3,87–9,85 3,05–10,66 | 81% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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