Eredivisie·Etapa 23·
Eredivisie·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,542,98sigur0,47–2,400,69–2,401,15–4,80mai sigur0,22–2,650,46–2,620,67–5,28
Șuturi pe poartă
49%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,044,589,61sigur3,18–6,902,83–6,326,01–13,22mai sigur2,69–7,392,37–6,785,05–14,17
Total șuturi
65%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,7213,1828,90sigur11,79–19,649,62–16,7521,41–36,39mai sigur10,70–20,748,66–17,7019,36–38,44
Șuturi din careu
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,268,7017,96sigur6,32–12,206,02–11,3812,33–23,58mai sigur5,49–13,035,28–12,1210,77–25,15
Șuturi blocate
50%
14%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,443,908,34sigur2,56–6,322,24–5,554,80–11,87mai sigur2,01–6,871,75–6,043,77–12,91
Cornere
48%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,174,839,99sigur2,96–7,382,83–6,835,78–14,21mai sigur2,38–7,962,29–7,364,67–15,31
Posesie %
55%
40%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,4948,39sigur44,70–58,2841,61–55,18mai sigur43,03–59,9539,94–56,85
Pase
68%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție467411879sigur400–535345–478745–1013mai sigur382–553327–495710–1048
Precizie pase %
43%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,8970,80sigur65,86–73,9266,48–75,12mai sigur64,56–75,2165,17–76,43
Faulturi
52%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7911,0122,80sigur8,96–14,638,07–13,9617,02–28,59mai sigur8,20–15,397,32–14,7015,52–30,09
Ofsaiduri
43%
23%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,533,27sigur0,57–2,890,44–2,631,01–5,52mai sigur0,27–3,200,15–2,910,42–6,11
Cartonașe galbene
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,853,54sigur0,64–2,730,72–2,981,36–5,71mai sigur0,37–3,000,43–3,270,80–6,27
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
39%
16%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,213,456,66sigur1,78–4,651,89–5,003,66–9,65mai sigur1,39–5,041,46–5,432,85–10,46
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,44 0,47–2,40 0,22–2,65 | 1,54 0,69–2,40 0,46–2,62 | 2,98 1,15–4,80 0,67–5,28 | 35% 24% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,04 3,18–6,90 2,69–7,39 | 4,58 2,83–6,32 2,37–6,78 | 9,61 6,01–13,22 5,05–14,17 | 49% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 15,72 11,79–19,64 10,70–20,74 | 13,18 9,62–16,75 8,66–17,70 | 28,90 21,41–36,39 19,36–38,44 | 65% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,26 6,32–12,20 5,49–13,03 | 8,70 6,02–11,38 5,28–12,12 | 17,96 12,33–23,58 10,77–25,15 | 51% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,44 2,56–6,32 2,01–6,87 | 3,90 2,24–5,55 1,75–6,04 | 8,34 4,80–11,87 3,77–12,91 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,17 2,96–7,38 2,38–7,96 | 4,83 2,83–6,83 2,29–7,36 | 9,99 5,78–14,21 4,67–15,31 | 48% 39% |
| Posesie % | 51,49 44,70–58,28 43,03–59,95 | 48,39 41,61–55,18 39,94–56,85 | — | 55% 40% |
| Pase | 467 400–535 382–553 | 411 345–478 327–495 | 879 745–1013 710–1048 | 68% 32% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,89 65,86–73,92 64,56–75,21 | 70,80 66,48–75,12 65,17–76,43 | — | 43% 52% |
| Faulturi | 11,79 8,96–14,63 8,20–15,39 | 11,01 8,07–13,96 7,32–14,70 | 22,80 17,02–28,59 15,52–30,09 | 52% 39% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,73 0,57–2,89 0,27–3,20 | 1,53 0,44–2,63 0,15–2,91 | 3,27 1,01–5,52 0,42–6,11 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,68 0,64–2,73 0,37–3,00 | 1,85 0,72–2,98 0,43–3,27 | 3,54 1,36–5,71 0,80–6,27 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,21 1,78–4,65 1,39–5,04 | 3,45 1,89–5,00 1,46–5,43 | 6,66 3,66–9,65 2,85–10,46 | 39% 16% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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