Eredivisie·Etapa 23·
Eredivisie·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
23%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,791,213,00sigur0,83–2,760,36–2,061,18–4,83mai sigur0,58–3,010,13–2,290,70–5,31
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,584,4710,04sigur3,71–7,442,73–6,216,44–13,65mai sigur3,22–7,932,26–6,685,48–14,60
Total șuturi
59%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,5113,7629,26sigur11,58–19,4310,19–17,3221,78–36,75mai sigur10,49–20,529,23–18,2819,72–38,80
Șuturi din careu
64%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,608,5319,14sigur7,66–13,555,85–11,2113,51–24,76mai sigur6,83–14,385,12–11,9511,95–26,33
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,933,657,57sigur2,04–5,811,99–5,304,04–11,11mai sigur1,50–6,351,50–5,793,00–12,14
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,964,9610,92sigur3,74–8,172,96–6,966,71–15,13mai sigur3,17–8,742,43–7,505,60–16,24
Posesie %
40%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,4151,85sigur41,62–55,2045,07–58,64mai sigur39,95–56,8743,40–60,31
Pase
47%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție433441875sigur366–501375–508741–1008mai sigur348–519357–525705–1044
Precizie pase %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,0369,81sigur62,00–70,0565,48–74,13mai sigur60,70–71,3564,18–75,44
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9312,1724,10sigur9,09–14,779,22–15,1118,31–29,88mai sigur8,33–15,528,47–15,8616,81–31,38
Ofsaiduri
46%
24%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,292,95sigur0,50–2,820,20–2,390,70–5,21mai sigur0,20–3,120,00–2,670,11–5,80
Cartonașe galbene
30%
24%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,693,00sigur0,26–2,360,56–2,820,82–5,18mai sigur0,00–2,620,27–3,110,26–5,73
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
33%
15%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,163,816,96sigur1,72–4,592,25–5,363,97–9,96mai sigur1,33–4,981,83–5,793,16–10,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,79 0,83–2,76 0,58–3,01 | 1,21 0,36–2,06 0,13–2,29 | 3,00 1,18–4,83 0,70–5,31 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,58 3,71–7,44 3,22–7,93 | 4,47 2,73–6,21 2,26–6,68 | 10,04 6,44–13,65 5,48–14,60 | 57% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 15,51 11,58–19,43 10,49–20,52 | 13,76 10,19–17,32 9,23–18,28 | 29,26 21,78–36,75 19,72–38,80 | 59% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,60 7,66–13,55 6,83–14,38 | 8,53 5,85–11,21 5,12–11,95 | 19,14 13,51–24,76 11,95–26,33 | 64% 28% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,93 2,04–5,81 1,50–6,35 | 3,65 1,99–5,30 1,50–5,79 | 7,57 4,04–11,11 3,00–12,14 | 47% 15% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,96 3,74–8,17 3,17–8,74 | 4,96 2,96–6,96 2,43–7,50 | 10,92 6,71–15,13 5,60–16,24 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 48,41 41,62–55,20 39,95–56,87 | 51,85 45,07–58,64 43,40–60,31 | — | 40% 56% |
| Pase | 433 366–501 348–519 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 875 741–1008 705–1044 | 47% 52% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,03 62,00–70,05 60,70–71,35 | 69,81 65,48–74,13 64,18–75,44 | — | 29% 66% |
| Faulturi | 11,93 9,09–14,77 8,33–15,52 | 12,17 9,22–15,11 8,47–15,86 | 24,10 18,31–29,88 16,81–31,38 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,20–3,12 | 1,29 0,20–2,39 0,00–2,67 | 2,95 0,70–5,21 0,11–5,80 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,31 0,26–2,36 0,00–2,62 | 1,69 0,56–2,82 0,27–3,11 | 3,00 0,82–5,18 0,26–5,73 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,16 1,72–4,59 1,33–4,98 | 3,81 2,25–5,36 1,83–5,79 | 6,96 3,97–9,96 3,16–10,77 | 33% 15% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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