Eredivisie·Etapa 24·
Eredivisie·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
26%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,461,042,50sigur0,49–2,420,19–1,900,68–4,32mai sigur0,24–2,680,00–2,130,20–4,80
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,983,668,64sigur3,12–6,841,92–5,415,04–12,25mai sigur2,63–7,331,46–5,874,08–13,21
Total șuturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9812,1026,07sigur10,05–17,908,53–15,6618,59–33,56mai sigur8,96–18,997,57–16,6216,54–35,61
Șuturi din careu
60%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,647,1315,77sigur5,70–11,594,45–9,8110,15–21,39mai sigur4,87–12,413,71–10,558,58–22,96
Șuturi blocate
57%
15%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,832,876,71sigur1,95–5,721,22–4,533,17–10,24mai sigur1,41–6,260,73–5,022,14–11,28
Cornere
50%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,294,7410,03sigur3,07–7,502,74–6,745,81–14,24mai sigur2,50–8,072,21–7,274,71–15,35
Posesie %
54%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,4048,80sigur44,61–58,1942,02–55,59mai sigur42,94–59,8640,35–57,26
Pase
59%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție432405837sigur365–499338–471703–971mai sigur347–518321–489668–1006
Precizie pase %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,8669,36sigur63,83–71,8965,03–73,68mai sigur62,54–73,1863,72–74,99
Faulturi
36%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5713,9426,51sigur9,73–15,4111,00–16,8920,73–32,30mai sigur8,98–16,1610,25–17,6419,23–33,80
Ofsaiduri
40%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,442,99sigur0,39–2,710,35–2,530,74–5,24mai sigur0,09–3,010,06–2,820,15–5,83
Cartonașe galbene
27%
20%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,662,344,00sigur0,61–2,711,21–3,471,82–6,18mai sigur0,35–2,980,92–3,761,26–6,74
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
30%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,513,265,77sigur1,08–3,951,70–4,822,78–8,77mai sigur0,69–4,341,28–5,241,97–9,58
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,46 0,49–2,42 0,24–2,68 | 1,04 0,19–1,90 0,00–2,13 | 2,50 0,68–4,32 0,20–4,80 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,98 3,12–6,84 2,63–7,33 | 3,66 1,92–5,41 1,46–5,87 | 8,64 5,04–12,25 4,08–13,21 | 61% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 13,98 10,05–17,90 8,96–18,99 | 12,10 8,53–15,66 7,57–16,62 | 26,07 18,59–33,56 16,54–35,61 | 61% 32% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,64 5,70–11,59 4,87–12,41 | 7,13 4,45–9,81 3,71–10,55 | 15,77 10,15–21,39 8,58–22,96 | 60% 31% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,83 1,95–5,72 1,41–6,26 | 2,87 1,22–4,53 0,73–5,02 | 6,71 3,17–10,24 2,14–11,28 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,29 3,07–7,50 2,50–8,07 | 4,74 2,74–6,74 2,21–7,27 | 10,03 5,81–14,24 4,71–15,35 | 50% 37% |
| Posesie % | 51,40 44,61–58,19 42,94–59,86 | 48,80 42,02–55,59 40,35–57,26 | — | 54% 42% |
| Pase | 432 365–499 347–518 | 405 338–471 321–489 | 837 703–971 668–1006 | 59% 41% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,86 63,83–71,89 62,54–73,18 | 69,36 65,03–73,68 63,72–74,99 | — | 40% 55% |
| Faulturi | 12,57 9,73–15,41 8,98–16,16 | 13,94 11,00–16,89 10,25–17,64 | 26,51 20,73–32,30 19,23–33,80 | 36% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,55 0,39–2,71 0,09–3,01 | 1,44 0,35–2,53 0,06–2,82 | 2,99 0,74–5,24 0,15–5,83 | 40% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,66 0,61–2,71 0,35–2,98 | 2,34 1,21–3,47 0,92–3,76 | 4,00 1,82–6,18 1,26–6,74 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,51 1,08–3,95 0,69–4,34 | 3,26 1,70–4,82 1,28–5,24 | 5,77 2,78–8,77 1,97–9,58 | 30% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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