Eredivisie·Etapa 24·
Eredivisie·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
28%
23%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,833,17sigur0,36–2,300,98–2,691,34–4,99mai sigur0,11–2,550,75–2,920,86–5,47
Șuturi pe poartă
29%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,335,599,91sigur2,46–6,193,85–7,336,31–13,52mai sigur1,97–6,683,38–7,805,35–14,48
Total șuturi
35%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0115,5429,55sigur10,09–17,9411,98–19,1122,07–37,04mai sigur8,99–19,0311,02–20,0720,02–39,09
Șuturi din careu
36%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,0610,1419,20sigur6,12–12,017,46–12,8213,58–24,82mai sigur5,29–12,836,72–13,5612,01–26,39
Șuturi blocate
36%
14%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,834,358,18sigur1,94–5,712,70–6,004,64–11,71mai sigur1,40–6,252,20–6,503,61–12,75
Cornere
38%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,985,4210,41sigur2,77–7,203,42–7,426,19–14,62mai sigur2,20–7,772,89–7,955,09–15,73
Posesie %
28%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,4854,14sigur38,69–52,2747,36–60,92mai sigur37,02–53,9445,68–62,60
Pase
25%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție416495911sigur349–484428–561777–1045mai sigur331–502411–579742–1080
Precizie pase %
19%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,3175,50sigur65,29–73,3471,18–79,82mai sigur63,99–74,6469,87–81,13
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4610,5921,06sigur7,63–13,307,65–13,5415,28–26,84mai sigur6,87–14,066,90–14,2913,77–28,34
Ofsaiduri
43%
23%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,543,29sigur0,60–2,920,44–2,631,04–5,54mai sigur0,29–3,220,15–2,920,45–6,13
Cartonașe galbene
33%
25%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,562,90sigur0,29–2,390,43–2,690,72–5,08mai sigur0,02–2,650,14–2,980,16–5,63
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,453,116,55sigur2,01–4,891,55–4,663,56–9,55mai sigur1,63–5,271,12–5,092,75–10,36
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,33 0,36–2,30 0,11–2,55 | 1,83 0,98–2,69 0,75–2,92 | 3,17 1,34–4,99 0,86–5,47 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,33 2,46–6,19 1,97–6,68 | 5,59 3,85–7,33 3,38–7,80 | 9,91 6,31–13,52 5,35–14,48 | 29% 59% |
| Total șuturi | 14,01 10,09–17,94 8,99–19,03 | 15,54 11,98–19,11 11,02–20,07 | 29,55 22,07–37,04 20,02–39,09 | 35% 58% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,06 6,12–12,01 5,29–12,83 | 10,14 7,46–12,82 6,72–13,56 | 19,20 13,58–24,82 12,01–26,39 | 36% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,83 1,94–5,71 1,40–6,25 | 4,35 2,70–6,00 2,20–6,50 | 8,18 4,64–11,71 3,61–12,75 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Cornere | 4,98 2,77–7,20 2,20–7,77 | 5,42 3,42–7,42 2,89–7,95 | 10,41 6,19–14,62 5,09–15,73 | 38% 49% |
| Posesie % | 45,48 38,69–52,27 37,02–53,94 | 54,14 47,36–60,92 45,68–62,60 | — | 28% 67% |
| Pase | 416 349–484 331–502 | 495 428–561 411–579 | 911 777–1045 742–1080 | 25% 74% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,31 65,29–73,34 63,99–74,64 | 75,50 71,18–79,82 69,87–81,13 | — | 19% 77% |
| Faulturi | 10,46 7,63–13,30 6,87–14,06 | 10,59 7,65–13,54 6,90–14,29 | 21,06 15,28–26,84 13,77–28,34 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,60–2,92 0,29–3,22 | 1,54 0,44–2,63 0,15–2,92 | 3,29 1,04–5,54 0,45–6,13 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,34 0,29–2,39 0,02–2,65 | 1,56 0,43–2,69 0,14–2,98 | 2,90 0,72–5,08 0,16–5,63 | 33% 25% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,45 2,01–4,89 1,63–5,27 | 3,11 1,55–4,66 1,12–5,09 | 6,55 3,56–9,55 2,75–10,36 | 47% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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