Eredivisie·Etapa 24·
Eredivisie·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,282,64sigur0,40–2,340,42–2,130,82–4,47mai sigur0,15–2,590,19–2,360,34–4,94
Șuturi pe poartă
47%
13%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,654,338,98sigur2,79–6,512,59–6,075,37–12,58mai sigur2,30–7,002,12–6,544,42–13,54
Total șuturi
61%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6412,6227,26sigur10,72–18,579,06–16,1819,77–34,75mai sigur9,62–19,668,10–17,1417,72–36,80
Șuturi din careu
53%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,948,1617,10sigur6,00–11,885,48–10,8411,48–22,72mai sigur5,17–12,714,74–11,589,91–24,29
Șuturi blocate
51%
15%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,913,347,26sigur2,03–5,801,69–4,993,72–10,79mai sigur1,49–6,341,20–5,492,69–11,83
Cornere
45%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,095,0110,09sigur2,87–7,303,01–7,015,88–14,31mai sigur2,30–7,872,47–7,544,77–15,41
Posesie %
58%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,2247,78sigur45,43–59,0141,00–54,57mai sigur43,76–60,6839,33–56,24
Pase
64%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție451408859sigur384–518341–474725–992mai sigur365–536324–492689–1028
Precizie pase %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,9270,16sigur64,89–72,9565,83–74,48mai sigur63,59–74,2464,53–75,79
Faulturi
21%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3013,8124,12sigur7,47–13,1410,87–16,7618,34–29,90mai sigur6,71–13,9010,12–17,5116,83–31,40
Ofsaiduri
32%
23%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,713,14sigur0,27–2,590,61–2,800,88–5,39mai sigur0,00–2,890,33–3,090,29–5,98
Cartonașe galbene
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,983,48sigur0,45–2,550,86–3,111,30–5,66mai sigur0,18–2,810,56–3,400,75–6,22
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
37%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,963,286,25sigur1,53–4,401,73–4,843,26–9,24mai sigur1,14–4,791,30–5,272,44–10,05
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,37 0,40–2,34 0,15–2,59 | 1,28 0,42–2,13 0,19–2,36 | 2,64 0,82–4,47 0,34–4,94 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,65 2,79–6,51 2,30–7,00 | 4,33 2,59–6,07 2,12–6,54 | 8,98 5,37–12,58 4,42–13,54 | 47% 13% 39% |
| Total șuturi | 14,64 10,72–18,57 9,62–19,66 | 12,62 9,06–16,18 8,10–17,14 | 27,26 19,77–34,75 17,72–36,80 | 61% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,94 6,00–11,88 5,17–12,71 | 8,16 5,48–10,84 4,74–11,58 | 17,10 11,48–22,72 9,91–24,29 | 53% 38% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,91 2,03–5,80 1,49–6,34 | 3,34 1,69–4,99 1,20–5,49 | 7,26 3,72–10,79 2,69–11,83 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,09 2,87–7,30 2,30–7,87 | 5,01 3,01–7,01 2,47–7,54 | 10,09 5,88–14,31 4,77–15,41 | 45% 43% |
| Posesie % | 52,22 45,43–59,01 43,76–60,68 | 47,78 41,00–54,57 39,33–56,24 | — | 58% 37% |
| Pase | 451 384–518 365–536 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 859 725–992 689–1028 | 64% 36% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,92 64,89–72,95 63,59–74,24 | 70,16 65,83–74,48 64,53–75,79 | — | 41% 54% |
| Faulturi | 10,30 7,47–13,14 6,71–13,90 | 13,81 10,87–16,76 10,12–17,51 | 24,12 18,34–29,90 16,83–31,40 | 21% 73% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,43 0,27–2,59 0,00–2,89 | 1,71 0,61–2,80 0,33–3,09 | 3,14 0,88–5,39 0,29–5,98 | 32% 23% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,18–2,81 | 1,98 0,86–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 3,48 1,30–5,66 0,75–6,22 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,96 1,53–4,40 1,14–4,79 | 3,28 1,73–4,84 1,30–5,27 | 6,25 3,26–9,24 2,44–10,05 | 37% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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