Eredivisie·Etapa 26·
Eredivisie·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
25%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,462,89sigur0,46–2,390,61–2,321,06–4,71mai sigur0,20–2,640,38–2,550,58–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
43%
13%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,594,609,19sigur2,73–6,452,86–6,345,59–12,80mai sigur2,24–6,942,39–6,814,63–13,75
Total șuturi
49%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6513,2926,94sigur9,73–17,579,73–16,8619,46–34,43mai sigur8,63–18,678,77–17,8217,41–36,48
Șuturi din careu
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,938,3517,28sigur5,99–11,875,67–11,0311,66–22,90mai sigur5,16–12,704,93–11,7710,09–24,47
Șuturi blocate
43%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,523,476,99sigur1,64–5,401,82–5,123,45–10,52mai sigur1,09–5,941,32–5,612,42–11,56
Cornere
52%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,334,6810,01sigur3,12–7,542,68–6,685,80–14,23mai sigur2,54–8,122,15–7,214,69–15,33
Posesie %
33%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,6052,83sigur39,81–53,3946,05–59,62mai sigur38,14–55,0644,38–61,29
Pase
28%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție420488908sigur353–487422–555775–1042mai sigur334–505404–572739–1078
Precizie pase %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,3172,85sigur64,28–72,3468,53–77,18mai sigur62,99–73,6467,22–78,48
Faulturi
44%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9411,1322,07sigur8,10–13,778,19–14,0816,29–27,85mai sigur7,34–14,537,44–14,8314,78–29,36
Ofsaiduri
41%
22%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,713,53sigur0,66–2,980,61–2,801,27–5,78mai sigur0,36–3,280,32–3,090,68–6,37
Cartonașe galbene
37%
24%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,613,16sigur0,51–2,610,48–2,740,99–5,34mai sigur0,24–2,870,19–3,030,43–5,90
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
39%
16%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,983,136,11sigur1,54–4,411,58–4,693,12–9,10mai sigur1,15–4,801,15–5,112,31–9,92
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,42 0,46–2,39 0,20–2,64 | 1,46 0,61–2,32 0,38–2,55 | 2,89 1,06–4,71 0,58–5,19 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,59 2,73–6,45 2,24–6,94 | 4,60 2,86–6,34 2,39–6,81 | 9,19 5,59–12,80 4,63–13,75 | 43% 13% 43% |
| Total șuturi | 13,65 9,73–17,57 8,63–18,67 | 13,29 9,73–16,86 8,77–17,82 | 26,94 19,46–34,43 17,41–36,48 | 49% 43% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,93 5,99–11,87 5,16–12,70 | 8,35 5,67–11,03 4,93–11,77 | 17,28 11,66–22,90 10,09–24,47 | 51% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,52 1,64–5,40 1,09–5,94 | 3,47 1,82–5,12 1,32–5,61 | 6,99 3,45–10,52 2,42–11,56 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 5,33 3,12–7,54 2,54–8,12 | 4,68 2,68–6,68 2,15–7,21 | 10,01 5,80–14,23 4,69–15,33 | 52% 36% |
| Posesie % | 46,60 39,81–53,39 38,14–55,06 | 52,83 46,05–59,62 44,38–61,29 | — | 33% 62% |
| Pase | 420 353–487 334–505 | 488 422–555 404–572 | 908 775–1042 739–1078 | 28% 72% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,31 64,28–72,34 62,99–73,64 | 72,85 68,53–77,18 67,22–78,48 | — | 26% 70% |
| Faulturi | 10,94 8,10–13,77 7,34–14,53 | 11,13 8,19–14,08 7,44–14,83 | 22,07 16,29–27,85 14,78–29,36 | 44% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,82 0,66–2,98 0,36–3,28 | 1,71 0,61–2,80 0,32–3,09 | 3,53 1,27–5,78 0,68–6,37 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,56 0,51–2,61 0,24–2,87 | 1,61 0,48–2,74 0,19–3,03 | 3,16 0,99–5,34 0,43–5,90 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,98 1,54–4,41 1,15–4,80 | 3,13 1,58–4,69 1,15–5,11 | 6,11 3,12–9,10 2,31–9,92 | 39% 16% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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