Eredivisie·Etapa 26·
Eredivisie·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
24%
22%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,262,013,28sigur0,29–2,231,16–2,871,45–5,10mai sigur0,04–2,480,93–3,100,97–5,58
Șuturi pe poartă
24%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,185,9510,13sigur2,32–6,044,21–7,696,53–13,74mai sigur1,83–6,533,74–8,165,57–14,69
Total șuturi
20%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1115,9928,10sigur8,18–16,0312,43–19,5620,61–35,59mai sigur7,09–17,1211,47–20,5218,56–37,64
Șuturi din careu
22%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,7710,6318,40sigur4,83–10,727,95–13,3112,78–24,03mai sigur4,00–11,557,21–14,0511,21–25,59
Șuturi blocate
23%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,274,828,09sigur1,39–5,153,17–6,484,56–11,63mai sigur0,85–5,702,68–6,973,52–12,66
Cornere
39%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,865,2510,11sigur2,64–7,073,25–7,255,89–14,32mai sigur2,07–7,642,72–7,784,78–15,43
Posesie %
23%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,3055,96sigur37,51–51,0949,17–62,74mai sigur35,84–52,7647,50–64,41
Pase
19%
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție427531959sigur360–495465–598825–1092mai sigur342–513447–615789–1128
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,5474,85sigur61,51–69,5770,53–79,17mai sigur60,22–70,8669,22–80,48
Faulturi
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,5610,3119,87sigur6,72–12,397,37–13,2614,09–25,65mai sigur5,96–13,156,62–14,0012,58–27,15
Ofsaiduri
42%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,473,10sigur0,47–2,790,37–2,560,84–5,35mai sigur0,17–3,090,09–2,850,25–5,94
Cartonașe galbene
36%
26%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,402,73sigur0,28–2,380,27–2,530,55–4,90mai sigur0,01–2,640,00–2,820,00–5,46
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,060,13sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,250,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,380,00–0,76
Parade portar
52%
15%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,693,036,72sigur2,26–5,131,47–4,583,73–9,71mai sigur1,87–5,521,05–5,012,91–10,52
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,26 0,29–2,23 0,04–2,48 | 2,01 1,16–2,87 0,93–3,10 | 3,28 1,45–5,10 0,97–5,58 | 24% 22% 55% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,18 2,32–6,04 1,83–6,53 | 5,95 4,21–7,69 3,74–8,16 | 10,13 6,53–13,74 5,57–14,69 | 24% 65% |
| Total șuturi | 12,11 8,18–16,03 7,09–17,12 | 15,99 12,43–19,56 11,47–20,52 | 28,10 20,61–35,59 18,56–37,64 | 20% 74% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,77 4,83–10,72 4,00–11,55 | 10,63 7,95–13,31 7,21–14,05 | 18,40 12,78–24,03 11,21–25,59 | 22% 71% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,27 1,39–5,15 0,85–5,70 | 4,82 3,17–6,48 2,68–6,97 | 8,09 4,56–11,63 3,52–12,66 | 23% 64% |
| Cornere | 4,86 2,64–7,07 2,07–7,64 | 5,25 3,25–7,25 2,72–7,78 | 10,11 5,89–14,32 4,78–15,43 | 39% 49% |
| Posesie % | 44,30 37,51–51,09 35,84–52,76 | 55,96 49,17–62,74 47,50–64,41 | — | 23% 74% |
| Pase | 427 360–495 342–513 | 531 465–598 447–615 | 959 825–1092 789–1128 | 19% 81% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,54 61,51–69,57 60,22–70,86 | 74,85 70,53–79,17 69,22–80,48 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 9,56 6,72–12,39 5,96–13,15 | 10,31 7,37–13,26 6,62–14,00 | 19,87 14,09–25,65 12,58–27,15 | 39% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,63 0,47–2,79 0,17–3,09 | 1,47 0,37–2,56 0,09–2,85 | 3,10 0,84–5,35 0,25–5,94 | 42% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,33 0,28–2,38 0,01–2,64 | 1,40 0,27–2,53 0,00–2,82 | 2,73 0,55–4,90 0,00–5,46 | 36% 26% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,06 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,38 | 0,13 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 3,69 2,26–5,13 1,87–5,52 | 3,03 1,47–4,58 1,05–5,01 | 6,72 3,73–9,71 2,91–10,52 | 52% 15% 32% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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