Eredivisie·Etapa 27·
Eredivisie·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
67%
18%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,471,123,59sigur1,50–3,430,27–1,981,77–5,41mai sigur1,25–3,680,04–2,211,29–5,89
Șuturi pe poartă
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,203,5910,79sigur5,34–9,061,85–5,337,19–14,40mai sigur4,85–9,551,38–5,806,23–15,35
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție21,6010,4032,00sigur17,68–25,536,84–13,9624,51–39,49mai sigur16,59–26,625,88–14,9222,46–41,54
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,137,3221,44sigur11,18–17,074,64–10,0015,82–27,07mai sigur10,36–17,903,90–10,7314,25–28,63
Șuturi blocate
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,122,818,93sigur4,24–8,001,16–4,475,40–12,47mai sigur3,69–8,550,67–4,964,36–13,50
Cornere
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,093,7510,85sigur4,88–9,311,75–5,756,63–15,06mai sigur4,31–9,881,22–6,295,53–16,17
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,3539,67sigur53,56–67,1432,88–46,45mai sigur51,89–68,8131,21–48,12
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție601372973sigur534–668306–439839–1107mai sigur516–686288–456804–1142
Precizie pase %
78%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,1369,52sigur72,10–80,1665,20–73,84mai sigur70,81–81,4563,89–75,15
Faulturi
41%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,099,5318,63sigur6,25–11,936,59–12,4812,84–24,41mai sigur5,50–12,695,84–13,2311,34–25,91
Ofsaiduri
33%
24%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,411,643,05sigur0,25–2,570,55–2,730,80–5,30mai sigur0,00–2,870,26–3,020,21–5,89
Cartonașe galbene
25%
24%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,101,672,77sigur0,05–2,150,54–2,800,59–4,95mai sigur0,00–2,420,25–3,090,03–5,50
Cartonașe roșii
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,030,080,11sigur0,00–0,190,00–0,270,00–0,46mai sigur0,00–0,340,00–0,400,00–0,74
Parade portar
18%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,604,537,13sigur1,17–4,042,98–6,094,14–10,13mai sigur0,78–4,432,55–6,513,33–10,94
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,47 1,50–3,43 1,25–3,68 | 1,12 0,27–1,98 0,04–2,21 | 3,59 1,77–5,41 1,29–5,89 | 67% 18% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,20 5,34–9,06 4,85–9,55 | 3,59 1,85–5,33 1,38–5,80 | 10,79 7,19–14,40 6,23–15,35 | 83% |
| Total șuturi | 21,60 17,68–25,53 16,59–26,62 | 10,40 6,84–13,96 5,88–14,92 | 32,00 24,51–39,49 22,46–41,54 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 14,13 11,18–17,07 10,36–17,90 | 7,32 4,64–10,00 3,90–10,73 | 21,44 15,82–27,07 14,25–28,63 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 6,12 4,24–8,00 3,69–8,55 | 2,81 1,16–4,47 0,67–4,96 | 8,93 5,40–12,47 4,36–13,50 | 83% |
| Cornere | 7,09 4,88–9,31 4,31–9,88 | 3,75 1,75–5,75 1,22–6,29 | 10,85 6,63–15,06 5,53–16,17 | 81% |
| Posesie % | 60,35 53,56–67,14 51,89–68,81 | 39,67 32,88–46,45 31,21–48,12 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 601 534–668 516–686 | 372 306–439 288–456 | 973 839–1107 804–1142 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,13 72,10–80,16 70,81–81,45 | 69,52 65,20–73,84 63,89–75,15 | — | 78% 18% |
| Faulturi | 9,09 6,25–11,93 5,50–12,69 | 9,53 6,59–12,48 5,84–13,23 | 18,63 12,84–24,41 11,34–25,91 | 41% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,41 0,25–2,57 0,00–2,87 | 1,64 0,55–2,73 0,26–3,02 | 3,05 0,80–5,30 0,21–5,89 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,10 0,05–2,15 0,00–2,42 | 1,67 0,54–2,80 0,25–3,09 | 2,77 0,59–4,95 0,03–5,50 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,03 0,00–0,19 0,00–0,34 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,46 0,00–0,74 | 90% |
| Parade portar | 2,60 1,17–4,04 0,78–4,43 | 4,53 2,98–6,09 2,55–6,51 | 7,13 4,14–10,13 3,33–10,94 | 18% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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