Eredivisie·Etapa 28·
Eredivisie·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
21%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,011,203,21sigur1,04–2,980,35–2,061,39–5,03mai sigur0,79–3,230,12–2,290,91–5,51
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,904,1410,04sigur4,04–7,772,39–5,886,43–13,64mai sigur3,55–8,261,93–6,345,48–14,60
Total șuturi
78%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,2511,6227,86sigur12,32–20,178,05–15,1820,37–35,35mai sigur11,23–21,267,09–16,1418,32–37,40
Șuturi din careu
80%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,976,9117,88sigur8,03–13,914,23–9,5912,26–23,50mai sigur7,20–14,743,49–10,3310,69–25,07
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,023,717,73sigur2,14–5,902,05–5,364,19–11,26mai sigur1,60–6,451,56–5,853,16–12,30
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,934,1710,09sigur3,71–8,142,17–6,175,88–14,31mai sigur3,14–8,711,63–6,704,77–15,41
Posesie %
50%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,1949,18sigur43,40–56,9842,40–55,97mai sigur41,73–58,6540,73–57,64
Pase
55%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție485471956sigur418–553404–537822–1090mai sigur400–571387–555787–1125
Precizie pase %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,0473,47sigur67,01–75,0769,14–77,79mai sigur65,71–76,3667,83–79,10
Faulturi
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0610,6020,65sigur7,22–12,897,65–13,5414,87–26,43mai sigur6,46–13,656,90–14,2913,37–27,94
Ofsaiduri
52%
22%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,263,16sigur0,74–3,060,17–2,360,91–5,41mai sigur0,43–3,360,00–2,650,32–6,00
Cartonașe galbene
30%
24%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,642,91sigur0,22–2,320,51–2,770,73–5,09mai sigur0,00–2,580,22–3,060,17–5,64
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,070,13sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,260,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,390,00–0,76
Parade portar
30%
15%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,983,826,80sigur1,54–4,422,27–5,383,81–9,80mai sigur1,16–4,801,84–5,803,00–10,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,01 1,04–2,98 0,79–3,23 | 1,20 0,35–2,06 0,12–2,29 | 3,21 1,39–5,03 0,91–5,51 | 56% 21% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,90 4,04–7,77 3,55–8,26 | 4,14 2,39–5,88 1,93–6,34 | 10,04 6,43–13,64 5,48–14,60 | 66% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 16,25 12,32–20,17 11,23–21,26 | 11,62 8,05–15,18 7,09–16,14 | 27,86 20,37–35,35 18,32–37,40 | 78% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,97 8,03–13,91 7,20–14,74 | 6,91 4,23–9,59 3,49–10,33 | 17,88 12,26–23,50 10,69–25,07 | 80% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,02 2,14–5,90 1,60–6,45 | 3,71 2,05–5,36 1,56–5,85 | 7,73 4,19–11,26 3,16–12,30 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Cornere | 5,93 3,71–8,14 3,14–8,71 | 4,17 2,17–6,17 1,63–6,70 | 10,09 5,88–14,31 4,77–15,41 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 50,19 43,40–56,98 41,73–58,65 | 49,18 42,40–55,97 40,73–57,64 | — | 50% 45% |
| Pase | 485 418–553 400–571 | 471 404–537 387–555 | 956 822–1090 787–1125 | 55% 45% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,04 67,01–75,07 65,71–76,36 | 73,47 69,14–77,79 67,83–79,10 | — | 35% 60% |
| Faulturi | 10,06 7,22–12,89 6,46–13,65 | 10,60 7,65–13,54 6,90–14,29 | 20,65 14,87–26,43 13,37–27,94 | 41% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,43–3,36 | 1,26 0,17–2,36 0,00–2,65 | 3,16 0,91–5,41 0,32–6,00 | 52% 22% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,27 0,22–2,32 0,00–2,58 | 1,64 0,51–2,77 0,22–3,06 | 2,91 0,73–5,09 0,17–5,64 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,98 1,54–4,42 1,16–4,80 | 3,82 2,27–5,38 1,84–5,80 | 6,80 3,81–9,80 3,00–10,61 | 30% 15% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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