Eredivisie·Etapa 28·
Eredivisie·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
22%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,313,28sigur1,00–2,940,45–2,161,45–5,10mai sigur0,75–3,190,22–2,390,97–5,58
Șuturi pe poartă
63%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,984,3710,34sigur4,12–7,842,62–6,116,74–13,95mai sigur3,63–8,332,16–6,575,78–14,90
Total șuturi
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,8611,8530,71sigur14,93–22,788,29–15,4223,23–38,20mai sigur13,84–23,887,33–16,3821,18–40,25
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,717,9420,65sigur9,76–15,655,26–10,6215,03–26,27mai sigur8,93–16,484,52–11,3613,46–27,84
Șuturi blocate
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,763,779,53sigur3,87–7,642,12–5,425,99–13,06mai sigur3,33–8,181,62–5,924,95–14,10
Cornere
72%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,854,3911,24sigur4,64–9,062,39–6,397,03–15,46mai sigur4,06–9,641,86–6,935,92–16,56
Posesie %
77%
20%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,8743,55sigur50,08–63,6636,77–50,33mai sigur48,41–65,3335,09–52,01
Pase
84%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție507388895sigur440–574322–455762–1029mai sigur422–592304–472726–1065
Precizie pase %
66%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,4870,76sigur70,45–78,5166,44–75,09mai sigur69,16–79,8065,13–76,39
Faulturi
44%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3110,4420,75sigur7,47–13,147,50–13,3914,97–26,53mai sigur6,71–13,906,75–14,1413,46–28,03
Ofsaiduri
29%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,773,09sigur0,16–2,480,67–2,860,83–5,34mai sigur0,00–2,780,39–3,150,24–5,93
Cartonașe galbene
29%
24%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,251,652,90sigur0,20–2,300,52–2,780,72–5,08mai sigur0,00–2,570,23–3,070,16–5,64
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,13sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,260,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,76
Parade portar
27%
14%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,964,057,01sigur1,52–4,402,49–5,604,02–10,00mai sigur1,14–4,782,07–6,033,20–10,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,97 1,00–2,94 0,75–3,19 | 1,31 0,45–2,16 0,22–2,39 | 3,28 1,45–5,10 0,97–5,58 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,98 4,12–7,84 3,63–8,33 | 4,37 2,62–6,11 2,16–6,57 | 10,34 6,74–13,95 5,78–14,90 | 63% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 18,86 14,93–22,78 13,84–23,88 | 11,85 8,29–15,42 7,33–16,38 | 30,71 23,23–38,20 21,18–40,25 | 88% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,71 9,76–15,65 8,93–16,48 | 7,94 5,26–10,62 4,52–11,36 | 20,65 15,03–26,27 13,46–27,84 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,76 3,87–7,64 3,33–8,18 | 3,77 2,12–5,42 1,62–5,92 | 9,53 5,99–13,06 4,95–14,10 | 68% 21% |
| Cornere | 6,85 4,64–9,06 4,06–9,64 | 4,39 2,39–6,39 1,86–6,93 | 11,24 7,03–15,46 5,92–16,56 | 72% 19% |
| Posesie % | 56,87 50,08–63,66 48,41–65,33 | 43,55 36,77–50,33 35,09–52,01 | — | 77% 20% |
| Pase | 507 440–574 422–592 | 388 322–455 304–472 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 84% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,48 70,45–78,51 69,16–79,80 | 70,76 66,44–75,09 65,13–76,39 | — | 66% 29% |
| Faulturi | 10,31 7,47–13,14 6,71–13,90 | 10,44 7,50–13,39 6,75–14,14 | 20,75 14,97–26,53 13,46–28,03 | 44% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,32 0,16–2,48 0,00–2,78 | 1,77 0,67–2,86 0,39–3,15 | 3,09 0,83–5,34 0,24–5,93 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,25 0,20–2,30 0,00–2,57 | 1,65 0,52–2,78 0,23–3,07 | 2,90 0,72–5,08 0,16–5,64 | 29% 24% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,96 1,52–4,40 1,14–4,78 | 4,05 2,49–5,60 2,07–6,03 | 7,01 4,02–10,00 3,20–10,81 | 27% 14% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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