Eredivisie·Etapa 28·
Eredivisie·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
18%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,411,233,64sigur1,45–3,380,37–2,081,82–5,46mai sigur1,19–3,630,15–2,311,34–5,94
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,424,1110,54sigur4,56–8,292,37–5,856,93–14,14mai sigur4,07–8,781,90–6,325,98–15,10
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,5311,3028,84sigur13,61–21,467,74–14,8721,35–36,32mai sigur12,52–22,556,78–15,8319,30–38,37
Șuturi din careu
80%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,587,3818,96sigur8,64–14,534,70–10,0613,34–24,58mai sigur7,81–15,363,96–10,8011,77–26,15
Șuturi blocate
54%
14%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,353,577,92sigur2,46–6,231,92–5,234,38–11,45mai sigur1,92–6,771,43–5,723,35–12,49
Cornere
72%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,584,2110,78sigur4,36–8,792,21–6,216,57–15,00mai sigur3,79–9,361,67–6,745,46–16,10
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,9344,97sigur48,14–61,7238,19–51,76mai sigur46,47–63,3936,51–53,43
Pase
77%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție528438966sigur461–595372–505833–1100mai sigur442–613355–522797–1136
Precizie pase %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,6575,63sigur71,62–79,6871,31–79,95mai sigur70,33–80,9770,00–81,26
Faulturi
42%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3010,7521,05sigur7,47–13,147,80–13,6915,27–26,83mai sigur6,71–13,907,05–14,4413,76–28,34
Ofsaiduri
53%
22%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,293,25sigur0,81–3,130,19–2,381,00–5,51mai sigur0,51–3,430,00–2,670,41–6,09
Cartonașe galbene
21%
21%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,152,053,20sigur0,10–2,200,92–3,181,02–5,38mai sigur0,00–2,470,63–3,470,46–5,94
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
26%
14%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,944,097,03sigur1,51–4,382,53–5,644,04–10,02mai sigur1,12–4,772,11–6,073,22–10,83
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,41 1,45–3,38 1,19–3,63 | 1,23 0,37–2,08 0,15–2,31 | 3,64 1,82–5,46 1,34–5,94 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,42 4,56–8,29 4,07–8,78 | 4,11 2,37–5,85 1,90–6,32 | 10,54 6,93–14,14 5,98–15,10 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 17,53 13,61–21,46 12,52–22,55 | 11,30 7,74–14,87 6,78–15,83 | 28,84 21,35–36,32 19,30–38,37 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,58 8,64–14,53 7,81–15,36 | 7,38 4,70–10,06 3,96–10,80 | 18,96 13,34–24,58 11,77–26,15 | 80% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,35 2,46–6,23 1,92–6,77 | 3,57 1,92–5,23 1,43–5,72 | 7,92 4,38–11,45 3,35–12,49 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Cornere | 6,58 4,36–8,79 3,79–9,36 | 4,21 2,21–6,21 1,67–6,74 | 10,78 6,57–15,00 5,46–16,10 | 72% 19% |
| Posesie % | 54,93 48,14–61,72 46,47–63,39 | 44,97 38,19–51,76 36,51–53,43 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 528 461–595 442–613 | 438 372–505 355–522 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 77% 23% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,65 71,62–79,68 70,33–80,97 | 75,63 71,31–79,95 70,00–81,26 | — | 48% 47% |
| Faulturi | 10,30 7,47–13,14 6,71–13,90 | 10,75 7,80–13,69 7,05–14,44 | 21,05 15,27–26,83 13,76–28,34 | 42% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,97 0,81–3,13 0,51–3,43 | 1,29 0,19–2,38 0,00–2,67 | 3,25 1,00–5,51 0,41–6,09 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,15 0,10–2,20 0,00–2,47 | 2,05 0,92–3,18 0,63–3,47 | 3,20 1,02–5,38 0,46–5,94 | 21% 21% 58% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,94 1,51–4,38 1,12–4,77 | 4,09 2,53–5,64 2,11–6,07 | 7,03 4,04–10,02 3,22–10,83 | 26% 14% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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