Eredivisie·Etapa 30·
Eredivisie·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
22%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,951,253,19sigur0,98–2,910,40–2,101,37–5,02mai sigur0,73–3,160,17–2,330,89–5,50
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,984,2310,21sigur4,12–7,842,49–5,976,60–13,82mai sigur3,63–8,332,02–6,445,65–14,77
Total șuturi
77%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,9412,3829,31sigur13,01–20,868,81–15,9421,83–36,80mai sigur11,92–21,957,85–16,9019,77–38,85
Șuturi din careu
76%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,868,1620,02sigur8,91–14,805,48–10,8414,39–25,64mai sigur8,08–15,634,74–11,5812,83–27,21
Șuturi blocate
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,793,508,29sigur2,91–6,671,85–5,164,76–11,83mai sigur2,36–7,221,36–5,653,72–12,87
Cornere
69%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,564,3710,94sigur4,35–8,772,37–6,376,72–15,15mai sigur3,77–9,351,84–6,915,62–16,26
Posesie %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,6844,06sigur48,89–62,4737,28–50,85mai sigur47,22–64,1435,61–52,52
Pase
81%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție519415934sigur452–586348–481800–1068mai sigur434–604331–499764–1103
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,8969,08sigur65,86–73,9264,76–73,41mai sigur64,57–75,2163,45–74,72
Faulturi
22%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,0111,9620,96sigur6,17–11,849,01–14,9015,18–26,74mai sigur5,41–12,608,26–15,6513,68–28,25
Ofsaiduri
41%
26%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,451,282,73sigur0,29–2,610,19–2,370,47–4,98mai sigur0,00–2,910,00–2,660,00–5,57
Cartonașe galbene
22%
24%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,041,752,79sigur0,00–2,090,62–2,880,61–4,97mai sigur0,00–2,350,33–3,170,05–5,53
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,070,12sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,260,00–0,46mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,390,00–0,75
Parade portar
25%
14%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,784,056,83sigur1,34–4,222,50–5,613,84–9,82mai sigur0,96–4,602,07–6,033,03–10,64
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,95 0,98–2,91 0,73–3,16 | 1,25 0,40–2,10 0,17–2,33 | 3,19 1,37–5,02 0,89–5,50 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,98 4,12–7,84 3,63–8,33 | 4,23 2,49–5,97 2,02–6,44 | 10,21 6,60–13,82 5,65–14,77 | 65% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 16,94 13,01–20,86 11,92–21,95 | 12,38 8,81–15,94 7,85–16,90 | 29,31 21,83–36,80 19,77–38,85 | 77% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,86 8,91–14,80 8,08–15,63 | 8,16 5,48–10,84 4,74–11,58 | 20,02 14,39–25,64 12,83–27,21 | 76% 17% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,79 2,91–6,67 2,36–7,22 | 3,50 1,85–5,16 1,36–5,65 | 8,29 4,76–11,83 3,72–12,87 | 61% 27% |
| Cornere | 6,56 4,35–8,77 3,77–9,35 | 4,37 2,37–6,37 1,84–6,91 | 10,94 6,72–15,15 5,62–16,26 | 69% 21% |
| Posesie % | 55,68 48,89–62,47 47,22–64,14 | 44,06 37,28–50,85 35,61–52,52 | — | 73% 23% |
| Pase | 519 452–586 434–604 | 415 348–481 331–499 | 934 800–1068 764–1103 | 81% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,89 65,86–73,92 64,57–75,21 | 69,08 64,76–73,41 63,45–74,72 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 9,01 6,17–11,84 5,41–12,60 | 11,96 9,01–14,90 8,26–15,65 | 20,96 15,18–26,74 13,68–28,25 | 22% 70% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,45 0,29–2,61 0,00–2,91 | 1,28 0,19–2,37 0,00–2,66 | 2,73 0,47–4,98 0,00–5,57 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,04 0,00–2,09 0,00–2,35 | 1,75 0,62–2,88 0,33–3,17 | 2,79 0,61–4,97 0,05–5,53 | 22% 24% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,46 0,00–0,75 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 2,78 1,34–4,22 0,96–4,60 | 4,05 2,50–5,61 2,07–6,03 | 6,83 3,84–9,82 3,03–10,64 | 25% 14% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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