Eredivisie·Etapa 30·
Eredivisie·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
72%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,631,033,66sigur1,66–3,600,17–1,881,83–5,48mai sigur1,41–3,850,00–2,111,35–5,96
Șuturi pe poartă
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,193,8511,04sigur5,33–9,062,10–5,597,44–14,65mai sigur4,84–9,551,64–6,066,48–15,60
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,2610,8731,13sigur16,34–24,187,31–14,4323,64–38,62mai sigur15,24–25,286,35–15,3921,59–40,67
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,647,0120,65sigur10,70–16,584,33–9,6915,02–26,27mai sigur9,87–17,413,59–10,4313,46–27,84
Șuturi blocate
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,692,938,62sigur3,81–7,571,28–4,595,09–12,16mai sigur3,26–8,110,79–5,084,05–13,19
Cornere
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,293,6510,94sigur5,07–9,501,65–5,656,72–15,15mai sigur4,50–10,071,12–6,195,62–16,26
Posesie %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,9940,49sigur53,20–66,7833,71–47,28mai sigur51,53–68,4532,04–48,95
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție551368919sigur484–618302–435786–1053mai sigur466–636284–452750–1089
Precizie pase %
75%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,4670,77sigur72,43–80,4966,45–75,09mai sigur71,14–81,7865,14–76,40
Faulturi
27%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0012,3922,39sigur7,17–12,849,44–15,3316,61–28,17mai sigur6,41–13,608,69–16,0815,10–29,67
Ofsaiduri
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,843,48sigur0,48–2,800,74–2,931,22–5,73mai sigur0,18–3,100,45–3,220,63–6,32
Cartonașe galbene
21%
22%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,061,872,93sigur0,01–2,110,74–3,000,75–5,11mai sigur0,00–2,380,45–3,290,19–5,66
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,090,14sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,280,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
15%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,715,007,71sigur1,27–4,153,44–6,554,71–10,70mai sigur0,89–4,533,02–6,983,90–11,51
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,63 1,66–3,60 1,41–3,85 | 1,03 0,17–1,88 0,00–2,11 | 3,66 1,83–5,48 1,35–5,96 | 72% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,19 5,33–9,06 4,84–9,55 | 3,85 2,10–5,59 1,64–6,06 | 11,04 7,44–14,65 6,48–15,60 | 81% |
| Total șuturi | 20,26 16,34–24,18 15,24–25,28 | 10,87 7,31–14,43 6,35–15,39 | 31,13 23,64–38,62 21,59–40,67 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,64 10,70–16,58 9,87–17,41 | 7,01 4,33–9,69 3,59–10,43 | 20,65 15,02–26,27 13,46–27,84 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,69 3,81–7,57 3,26–8,11 | 2,93 1,28–4,59 0,79–5,08 | 8,62 5,09–12,16 4,05–13,19 | 78% |
| Cornere | 7,29 5,07–9,50 4,50–10,07 | 3,65 1,65–5,65 1,12–6,19 | 10,94 6,72–15,15 5,62–16,26 | 83% |
| Posesie % | 59,99 53,20–66,78 51,53–68,45 | 40,49 33,71–47,28 32,04–48,95 | — | 86% |
| Pase | 551 484–618 466–636 | 368 302–435 284–452 | 919 786–1053 750–1089 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,46 72,43–80,49 71,14–81,78 | 70,77 66,45–75,09 65,14–76,40 | — | 75% 21% |
| Faulturi | 10,00 7,17–12,84 6,41–13,60 | 12,39 9,44–15,33 8,69–16,08 | 22,39 16,61–28,17 15,10–29,67 | 27% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,10 | 1,84 0,74–2,93 0,45–3,22 | 3,48 1,22–5,73 0,63–6,32 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,06 0,01–2,11 0,00–2,38 | 1,87 0,74–3,00 0,45–3,29 | 2,93 0,75–5,11 0,19–5,66 | 21% 22% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,71 1,27–4,15 0,89–4,53 | 5,00 3,44–6,55 3,02–6,98 | 7,71 4,71–10,70 3,90–11,51 | 15% 74% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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