Eredivisie·Etapa 31·
Eredivisie·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
21%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,163,22sigur1,09–3,030,30–2,011,40–5,04mai sigur0,84–3,280,08–2,240,92–5,52
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,554,2310,78sigur4,68–8,412,49–5,977,17–14,38mai sigur4,19–8,902,02–6,446,21–15,34
Total șuturi
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,7311,9331,67sigur15,81–23,668,37–15,4924,18–39,15mai sigur14,72–24,757,41–16,4522,13–41,20
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,797,6720,46sigur9,85–15,734,98–10,3514,83–26,08mai sigur9,02–16,564,25–11,0813,27–27,65
Șuturi blocate
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,842,948,78sigur3,96–7,721,28–4,595,24–12,31mai sigur3,41–8,270,79–5,084,21–13,35
Cornere
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,253,9611,22sigur5,04–9,471,96–5,967,00–15,43mai sigur4,47–10,041,43–6,505,90–16,54
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,2738,77sigur54,48–68,0631,99–45,56mai sigur52,81–69,7330,32–47,23
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție554357911sigur487–621291–424778–1045mai sigur469–640273–441742–1081
Precizie pase %
79%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,6768,87sigur71,64–79,7064,55–73,19mai sigur70,34–80,9963,24–74,50
Faulturi
25%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,5112,1921,70sigur6,67–12,359,24–15,1315,91–27,48mai sigur5,91–13,108,50–15,8814,41–28,98
Ofsaiduri
30%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,743,09sigur0,19–2,510,65–2,830,84–5,34mai sigur0,00–2,810,36–3,120,25–5,93
Cartonașe galbene
26%
23%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,221,813,03sigur0,17–2,270,68–2,940,85–5,21mai sigur0,00–2,540,39–3,230,30–5,77
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,14sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
18%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,694,597,27sigur1,25–4,123,03–6,144,28–10,27mai sigur0,86–4,512,61–6,573,47–11,08
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,06 1,09–3,03 0,84–3,28 | 1,16 0,30–2,01 0,08–2,24 | 3,22 1,40–5,04 0,92–5,52 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,55 4,68–8,41 4,19–8,90 | 4,23 2,49–5,97 2,02–6,44 | 10,78 7,17–14,38 6,21–15,34 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 19,73 15,81–23,66 14,72–24,75 | 11,93 8,37–15,49 7,41–16,45 | 31,67 24,18–39,15 22,13–41,20 | 90% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,79 9,85–15,73 9,02–16,56 | 7,67 4,98–10,35 4,25–11,08 | 20,46 14,83–26,08 13,27–27,65 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,84 3,96–7,72 3,41–8,27 | 2,94 1,28–4,59 0,79–5,08 | 8,78 5,24–12,31 4,21–13,35 | 79% |
| Cornere | 7,25 5,04–9,47 4,47–10,04 | 3,96 1,96–5,96 1,43–6,50 | 11,22 7,00–15,43 5,90–16,54 | 80% |
| Posesie % | 61,27 54,48–68,06 52,81–69,73 | 38,77 31,99–45,56 30,32–47,23 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 554 487–621 469–640 | 357 291–424 273–441 | 911 778–1045 742–1081 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,67 71,64–79,70 70,34–80,99 | 68,87 64,55–73,19 63,24–74,50 | — | 79% 17% |
| Faulturi | 9,51 6,67–12,35 5,91–13,10 | 12,19 9,24–15,13 8,50–15,88 | 21,70 15,91–27,48 14,41–28,98 | 25% 68% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,35 0,19–2,51 0,00–2,81 | 1,74 0,65–2,83 0,36–3,12 | 3,09 0,84–5,34 0,25–5,93 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,22 0,17–2,27 0,00–2,54 | 1,81 0,68–2,94 0,39–3,23 | 3,03 0,85–5,21 0,30–5,77 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,69 1,25–4,12 0,86–4,51 | 4,59 3,03–6,14 2,61–6,57 | 7,27 4,28–10,27 3,47–11,08 | 18% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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