Eredivisie·Etapa 33·
Eredivisie·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,733,42sigur0,72–2,660,87–2,581,59–5,24mai sigur0,47–2,910,64–2,811,11–5,72
Șuturi pe poartă
43%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,395,4710,86sigur3,53–7,263,73–7,217,26–14,47mai sigur3,04–7,743,26–7,686,30–15,42
Total șuturi
50%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,3214,8330,15sigur11,40–19,2511,26–18,3922,66–37,64mai sigur10,31–20,3410,30–19,3520,61–39,69
Șuturi din careu
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,219,5719,78sigur7,26–13,156,89–12,2614,16–25,40mai sigur6,43–13,986,16–12,9912,59–26,97
Șuturi blocate
38%
13%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,214,648,84sigur2,32–6,092,98–6,295,31–12,38mai sigur1,78–6,632,49–6,784,27–13,42
Cornere
46%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,445,2710,71sigur3,23–7,653,27–7,276,50–14,93mai sigur2,65–8,232,74–7,815,39–16,03
Posesie %
32%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,7453,75sigur39,95–53,5346,96–60,53mai sigur38,28–55,2045,29–62,21
Pase
29%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție437501938sigur369–504434–567804–1071mai sigur351–522417–585768–1107
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,9177,00sigur66,88–74,9472,68–81,33mai sigur65,59–76,2471,37–82,63
Faulturi
36%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,4010,5119,91sigur6,56–12,247,56–13,4514,12–25,69mai sigur5,81–12,996,81–14,2012,62–27,19
Ofsaiduri
52%
23%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,203,02sigur0,66–2,980,10–2,290,76–5,27mai sigur0,36–3,280,00–2,580,17–5,86
Cartonașe galbene
29%
26%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,101,422,52sigur0,06–2,150,29–2,540,34–4,70mai sigur0,00–2,420,00–2,840,00–5,26
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,070,13sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,260,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,390,00–0,76
Parade portar
42%
15%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,673,687,35sigur2,23–5,112,12–5,234,36–10,34mai sigur1,85–5,491,70–5,663,54–11,15
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,69 0,72–2,66 0,47–2,91 | 1,73 0,87–2,58 0,64–2,81 | 3,42 1,59–5,24 1,11–5,72 | 38% 23% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,39 3,53–7,26 3,04–7,74 | 5,47 3,73–7,21 3,26–7,68 | 10,86 7,26–14,47 6,30–15,42 | 43% 45% |
| Total șuturi | 15,32 11,40–19,25 10,31–20,34 | 14,83 11,26–18,39 10,30–19,35 | 30,15 22,66–37,64 20,61–39,69 | 50% 43% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,21 7,26–13,15 6,43–13,98 | 9,57 6,89–12,26 6,16–12,99 | 19,78 14,16–25,40 12,59–26,97 | 51% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,21 2,32–6,09 1,78–6,63 | 4,64 2,98–6,29 2,49–6,78 | 8,84 5,31–12,38 4,27–13,42 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Cornere | 5,44 3,23–7,65 2,65–8,23 | 5,27 3,27–7,27 2,74–7,81 | 10,71 6,50–14,93 5,39–16,03 | 46% 42% |
| Posesie % | 46,74 39,95–53,53 38,28–55,20 | 53,75 46,96–60,53 45,29–62,21 | — | 32% 64% |
| Pase | 437 369–504 351–522 | 501 434–567 417–585 | 938 804–1071 768–1107 | 29% 70% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,91 66,88–74,94 65,59–76,24 | 77,00 72,68–81,33 71,37–82,63 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 9,40 6,56–12,24 5,81–12,99 | 10,51 7,56–13,45 6,81–14,20 | 19,91 14,12–25,69 12,62–27,19 | 36% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,82 0,66–2,98 0,36–3,28 | 1,20 0,10–2,29 0,00–2,58 | 3,02 0,76–5,27 0,17–5,86 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,10 0,06–2,15 0,00–2,42 | 1,42 0,29–2,54 0,00–2,84 | 2,52 0,34–4,70 0,00–5,26 | 29% 26% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 3,67 2,23–5,11 1,85–5,49 | 3,68 2,12–5,23 1,70–5,66 | 7,35 4,36–10,34 3,54–11,15 | 42% 15% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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