Eredivisie·Etapa 34·
Eredivisie·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
22%
20%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,372,303,67sigur0,40–2,341,44–3,151,85–5,49mai sigur0,15–2,591,22–3,381,37–5,97
Șuturi pe poartă
20%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,646,9811,62sigur2,78–6,505,24–8,738,02–15,23mai sigur2,29–6,994,78–9,197,06–16,18
Total șuturi
20%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8118,0431,85sigur9,88–17,7314,48–21,6124,36–39,34mai sigur8,79–18,8213,52–22,5722,31–41,39
Șuturi din careu
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,8311,6820,51sigur5,89–11,789,00–14,3614,89–26,13mai sigur5,06–12,608,26–15,1013,32–27,70
Șuturi blocate
35%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,395,049,43sigur2,51–6,283,39–6,695,90–12,97mai sigur1,97–6,822,89–7,184,86–14,00
Cornere
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,895,7210,60sigur2,67–7,103,72–7,726,39–14,82mai sigur2,10–7,683,18–8,255,28–15,93
Posesie %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,4556,54sigur37,66–51,2449,76–63,33mai sigur35,99–52,9148,09–65,00
Pase
18%
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție401512914sigur334–469446–579780–1047mai sigur316–487428–596744–1083
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,4579,47sigur66,42–74,4875,15–83,80mai sigur65,13–75,7773,84–85,10
Faulturi
40%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1010,7620,86sigur7,27–12,947,82–13,7115,08–26,65mai sigur6,51–13,707,07–14,4613,58–28,15
Ofsaiduri
26%
22%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,963,28sigur0,16–2,480,87–3,051,03–5,53mai sigur0,00–2,780,58–3,340,44–6,12
Cartonașe galbene
39%
24%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,533,09sigur0,52–2,610,40–2,660,91–5,27mai sigur0,25–2,880,11–2,950,36–5,83
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,070,14sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,260,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,390,00–0,77
Parade portar
61%
14%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,202,947,15sigur2,77–5,641,39–4,504,15–10,14mai sigur2,38–6,030,96–4,923,34–10,95
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,37 0,40–2,34 0,15–2,59 | 2,30 1,44–3,15 1,22–3,38 | 3,67 1,85–5,49 1,37–5,97 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,64 2,78–6,50 2,29–6,99 | 6,98 5,24–8,73 4,78–9,19 | 11,62 8,02–15,23 7,06–16,18 | 20% 71% |
| Total șuturi | 13,81 9,88–17,73 8,79–18,82 | 18,04 14,48–21,61 13,52–22,57 | 31,85 24,36–39,34 22,31–41,39 | 20% 75% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,83 5,89–11,78 5,06–12,60 | 11,68 9,00–14,36 8,26–15,10 | 20,51 14,89–26,13 13,32–27,70 | 23% 70% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,39 2,51–6,28 1,97–6,82 | 5,04 3,39–6,69 2,89–7,18 | 9,43 5,90–12,97 4,86–14,00 | 35% 52% |
| Cornere | 4,89 2,67–7,10 2,10–7,68 | 5,72 3,72–7,72 3,18–8,25 | 10,60 6,39–14,82 5,28–15,93 | 34% 54% |
| Posesie % | 44,45 37,66–51,24 35,99–52,91 | 56,54 49,76–63,33 48,09–65,00 | — | 22% 74% |
| Pase | 401 334–469 316–487 | 512 446–579 428–596 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 18% 82% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,45 66,42–74,48 65,13–75,77 | 79,47 75,15–83,80 73,84–85,10 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 10,10 7,27–12,94 6,51–13,70 | 10,76 7,82–13,71 7,07–14,46 | 20,86 15,08–26,65 13,58–28,15 | 40% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,32 0,16–2,48 0,00–2,78 | 1,96 0,87–3,05 0,58–3,34 | 3,28 1,03–5,53 0,44–6,12 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,56 0,52–2,61 0,25–2,88 | 1,53 0,40–2,66 0,11–2,95 | 3,09 0,91–5,27 0,36–5,83 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 4,20 2,77–5,64 2,38–6,03 | 2,94 1,39–4,50 0,96–4,92 | 7,15 4,15–10,14 3,34–10,95 | 61% 14% 25% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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