Ligue 1·Etapa 7·
Ligue 1·Etapa 7·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
24%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,122,79sigur0,70–2,640,26–1,970,97–4,61mai sigur0,45–2,890,04–2,200,49–5,09
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,174,069,23sigur3,31–7,032,31–5,805,62–12,83mai sigur2,82–7,521,85–6,274,66–13,79
Total șuturi
71%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9211,5326,45sigur10,99–18,847,97–15,0918,96–33,93mai sigur9,90–19,937,01–16,0516,91–35,98
Șuturi din careu
67%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,197,7817,97sigur7,25–13,135,10–10,4612,34–23,59mai sigur6,42–13,964,36–11,1910,78–25,16
Șuturi blocate
63%
14%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,002,656,66sigur2,12–5,891,00–4,303,12–10,19mai sigur1,58–6,430,51–4,802,09–11,23
Cornere
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,804,3610,17sigur3,59–8,022,36–6,365,95–14,38mai sigur3,02–8,591,83–6,904,85–15,49
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,6640,82sigur53,87–67,4534,04–47,61mai sigur52,20–69,1232,36–49,28
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție579380959sigur512–646313–446825–1092mai sigur494–665296–464789–1128
Precizie pase %
70%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,3968,78sigur69,36–77,4264,46–73,11mai sigur68,07–78,7163,15–74,42
Faulturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5414,9026,44sigur8,70–14,3811,95–17,8420,65–32,22mai sigur7,95–15,1311,20–18,5919,15–33,72
Ofsaiduri
43%
21%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,071,893,96sigur0,91–3,230,80–2,991,71–6,21mai sigur0,60–3,530,51–3,281,12–6,80
Cartonașe galbene
26%
19%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,692,464,15sigur0,64–2,741,33–3,591,97–6,33mai sigur0,37–3,001,04–3,881,42–6,89
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,633,456,08sigur1,20–4,071,89–5,013,09–9,08mai sigur0,81–4,461,47–5,432,28–9,89
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,67 0,70–2,64 0,45–2,89 | 1,12 0,26–1,97 0,04–2,20 | 2,79 0,97–4,61 0,49–5,09 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,17 3,31–7,03 2,82–7,52 | 4,06 2,31–5,80 1,85–6,27 | 9,23 5,62–12,83 4,66–13,79 | 58% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 14,92 10,99–18,84 9,90–19,93 | 11,53 7,97–15,09 7,01–16,05 | 26,45 18,96–33,93 16,91–35,98 | 71% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,19 7,25–13,13 6,42–13,96 | 7,78 5,10–10,46 4,36–11,19 | 17,97 12,34–23,59 10,78–25,16 | 67% 25% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,00 2,12–5,89 1,58–6,43 | 2,65 1,00–4,30 0,51–4,80 | 6,66 3,12–10,19 2,09–11,23 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Cornere | 5,80 3,59–8,02 3,02–8,59 | 4,36 2,36–6,36 1,83–6,90 | 10,17 5,95–14,38 4,85–15,49 | 62% 27% |
| Posesie % | 60,66 53,87–67,45 52,20–69,12 | 40,82 34,04–47,61 32,36–49,28 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 579 512–646 494–665 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 959 825–1092 789–1128 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,39 69,36–77,42 68,07–78,71 | 68,78 64,46–73,11 63,15–74,42 | — | 70% 25% |
| Faulturi | 11,54 8,70–14,38 7,95–15,13 | 14,90 11,95–17,84 11,20–18,59 | 26,44 20,65–32,22 19,15–33,72 | 23% 71% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,91–3,23 0,60–3,53 | 1,89 0,80–2,99 0,51–3,28 | 3,96 1,71–6,21 1,12–6,80 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,69 0,64–2,74 0,37–3,00 | 2,46 1,33–3,59 1,04–3,88 | 4,15 1,97–6,33 1,42–6,89 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,63 1,20–4,07 0,81–4,46 | 3,45 1,89–5,01 1,47–5,43 | 6,08 3,09–9,08 2,28–9,89 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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