Ligue 1·Etapa 9·
Ligue 1·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
25%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,142,73sigur0,62–2,560,28–1,990,90–4,55mai sigur0,37–2,810,05–2,220,42–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,993,958,94sigur3,13–6,862,20–5,695,34–12,55mai sigur2,64–7,351,74–6,154,38–13,50
Total șuturi
72%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5211,0525,57sigur10,60–18,457,49–14,6118,08–33,06mai sigur9,50–19,546,53–15,5716,03–35,11
Șuturi din careu
68%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,557,1216,66sigur6,61–12,494,44–9,8011,04–22,29mai sigur5,78–13,323,70–10,539,47–23,85
Șuturi blocate
55%
15%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,562,756,31sigur1,67–5,441,10–4,402,77–9,84mai sigur1,13–5,980,61–4,901,74–10,88
Cornere
61%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,974,5610,53sigur3,76–8,182,56–6,566,31–14,74mai sigur3,18–8,762,02–7,095,21–15,85
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,4140,73sigur52,62–66,2033,95–47,52mai sigur50,95–67,8732,28–49,19
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție536365901sigur469–604298–431767–1035mai sigur451–622281–449732–1071
Precizie pase %
66%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,8168,02sigur67,78–75,8463,70–72,35mai sigur66,49–77,1362,39–73,66
Faulturi
29%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2213,4724,69sigur8,38–14,0610,52–16,4118,90–30,47mai sigur7,62–14,819,77–17,1617,40–31,97
Ofsaiduri
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,823,49sigur0,51–2,830,73–2,911,24–5,74mai sigur0,21–3,130,44–3,200,65–6,33
Cartonașe galbene
28%
20%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,622,253,87sigur0,57–2,671,12–3,381,69–6,04mai sigur0,30–2,930,83–3,671,13–6,60
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
29%
15%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,673,576,25sigur1,24–4,112,02–5,133,25–9,24mai sigur0,85–4,501,59–5,552,44–10,05
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,59 0,62–2,56 0,37–2,81 | 1,14 0,28–1,99 0,05–2,22 | 2,73 0,90–4,55 0,42–5,03 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,99 3,13–6,86 2,64–7,35 | 3,95 2,20–5,69 1,74–6,15 | 8,94 5,34–12,55 4,38–13,50 | 57% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 14,52 10,60–18,45 9,50–19,54 | 11,05 7,49–14,61 6,53–15,57 | 25,57 18,08–33,06 16,03–35,11 | 72% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,55 6,61–12,49 5,78–13,32 | 7,12 4,44–9,80 3,70–10,53 | 16,66 11,04–22,29 9,47–23,85 | 68% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,56 1,67–5,44 1,13–5,98 | 2,75 1,10–4,40 0,61–4,90 | 6,31 2,77–9,84 1,74–10,88 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Cornere | 5,97 3,76–8,18 3,18–8,76 | 4,56 2,56–6,56 2,02–7,09 | 10,53 6,31–14,74 5,21–15,85 | 61% 28% |
| Posesie % | 59,41 52,62–66,20 50,95–67,87 | 40,73 33,95–47,52 32,28–49,19 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 536 469–604 451–622 | 365 298–431 281–449 | 901 767–1035 732–1071 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,81 67,78–75,84 66,49–77,13 | 68,02 63,70–72,35 62,39–73,66 | — | 66% 29% |
| Faulturi | 11,22 8,38–14,06 7,62–14,81 | 13,47 10,52–16,41 9,77–17,16 | 24,69 18,90–30,47 17,40–31,97 | 29% 64% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,67 0,51–2,83 0,21–3,13 | 1,82 0,73–2,91 0,44–3,20 | 3,49 1,24–5,74 0,65–6,33 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,62 0,57–2,67 0,30–2,93 | 2,25 1,12–3,38 0,83–3,67 | 3,87 1,69–6,04 1,13–6,60 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,67 1,24–4,11 0,85–4,50 | 3,57 2,02–5,13 1,59–5,55 | 6,25 3,25–9,24 2,44–10,05 | 29% 15% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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