Ligue 1·Etapa 11·
Ligue 1·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,302,69sigur0,42–2,350,45–2,160,87–4,51mai sigur0,17–2,600,22–2,390,39–4,99
Șuturi pe poartă
41%
13%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,504,729,22sigur2,64–6,372,97–6,465,62–12,83mai sigur2,15–6,862,51–6,924,66–13,78
Total șuturi
57%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7712,4126,18sigur9,84–17,698,85–15,9818,70–33,67mai sigur8,75–18,787,89–16,9416,64–35,72
Șuturi din careu
48%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,898,5817,46sigur5,95–11,835,89–11,2611,84–23,09mai sigur5,12–12,665,16–11,9910,27–24,65
Șuturi blocate
49%
16%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,472,996,46sigur1,58–5,351,34–4,642,92–9,99mai sigur1,04–5,890,85–5,141,89–11,03
Cornere
54%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,464,6210,09sigur3,25–7,682,62–6,625,88–14,30mai sigur2,68–8,252,09–7,164,77–15,41
Posesie %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,3642,14sigur50,57–64,1535,36–48,93mai sigur48,90–65,8233,69–50,60
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție530382912sigur463–597316–448778–1046mai sigur445–615298–466743–1081
Precizie pase %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,7969,30sigur67,76–75,8264,98–73,63mai sigur66,47–77,1163,67–74,94
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7613,9626,72sigur9,92–15,6011,01–16,9020,94–32,50mai sigur9,17–16,3510,27–17,6519,43–34,01
Ofsaiduri
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,913,67sigur0,59–2,910,82–3,001,41–5,92mai sigur0,29–3,220,53–3,290,82–6,51
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,912,374,29sigur0,86–2,961,24–3,502,11–6,46mai sigur0,60–3,230,95–3,791,55–7,02
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
40%
16%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,033,176,20sigur1,60–4,471,61–4,723,21–9,19mai sigur1,21–4,861,19–5,152,39–10,00
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,42–2,35 0,17–2,60 | 1,30 0,45–2,16 0,22–2,39 | 2,69 0,87–4,51 0,39–4,99 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,50 2,64–6,37 2,15–6,86 | 4,72 2,97–6,46 2,51–6,92 | 9,22 5,62–12,83 4,66–13,78 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 13,77 9,84–17,69 8,75–18,78 | 12,41 8,85–15,98 7,89–16,94 | 26,18 18,70–33,67 16,64–35,72 | 57% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,89 5,95–11,83 5,12–12,66 | 8,58 5,89–11,26 5,16–11,99 | 17,46 11,84–23,09 10,27–24,65 | 48% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,47 1,58–5,35 1,04–5,89 | 2,99 1,34–4,64 0,85–5,14 | 6,46 2,92–9,99 1,89–11,03 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,46 3,25–7,68 2,68–8,25 | 4,62 2,62–6,62 2,09–7,16 | 10,09 5,88–14,30 4,77–15,41 | 54% 34% |
| Posesie % | 57,36 50,57–64,15 48,90–65,82 | 42,14 35,36–48,93 33,69–50,60 | — | 80% 17% |
| Pase | 530 463–597 445–615 | 382 316–448 298–466 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,79 67,76–75,82 66,47–77,11 | 69,30 64,98–73,63 63,67–74,94 | — | 60% 35% |
| Faulturi | 12,76 9,92–15,60 9,17–16,35 | 13,96 11,01–16,90 10,27–17,65 | 26,72 20,94–32,50 19,43–34,01 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,75 0,59–2,91 0,29–3,22 | 1,91 0,82–3,00 0,53–3,29 | 3,67 1,41–5,92 0,82–6,51 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,91 0,86–2,96 0,60–3,23 | 2,37 1,24–3,50 0,95–3,79 | 4,29 2,11–6,46 1,55–7,02 | 32% 20% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,03 1,60–4,47 1,21–4,86 | 3,17 1,61–4,72 1,19–5,15 | 6,20 3,21–9,19 2,39–10,00 | 40% 16% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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