Ligue 1·Etapa 11·
Ligue 1·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
26%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,141,452,59sigur0,17–2,110,59–2,300,76–4,41mai sigur0,00–2,360,36–2,530,28–4,89
Șuturi pe poartă
38%
13%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,294,709,00sigur2,43–6,162,96–6,445,39–12,60mai sigur1,94–6,652,49–6,914,44–13,56
Total șuturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5313,0426,57sigur9,61–17,469,47–16,6019,08–34,06mai sigur8,52–18,558,52–17,5617,03–36,11
Șuturi din careu
40%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,619,2217,83sigur5,66–11,556,54–11,9012,20–23,45mai sigur4,83–12,385,80–12,6410,64–25,02
Șuturi blocate
44%
15%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,633,527,15sigur1,75–5,511,86–5,173,61–10,68mai sigur1,20–6,051,37–5,662,58–11,72
Cornere
47%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,224,9210,14sigur3,01–7,442,92–6,925,93–14,36mai sigur2,44–8,012,38–7,454,82–15,46
Posesie %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,4455,84sigur37,65–51,2349,06–62,63mai sigur35,98–52,9047,39–64,30
Pase
19%
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție363468831sigur296–430401–534697–965mai sigur278–449384–552661–1000
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,8570,67sigur58,82–66,8866,34–74,99mai sigur57,52–68,1765,04–76,30
Faulturi
38%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3514,4527,80sigur10,51–16,1811,51–17,4022,01–33,58mai sigur9,75–16,9410,76–18,1420,51–35,08
Ofsaiduri
42%
21%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,051,933,98sigur0,89–3,210,83–3,021,72–6,23mai sigur0,59–3,510,54–3,311,13–6,82
Cartonașe galbene
34%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,762,073,83sigur0,72–2,810,94–3,201,65–6,01mai sigur0,45–3,080,65–3,491,10–6,57
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,090,20sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,280,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,410,00–0,83
Parade portar
45%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,212,996,19sigur1,77–4,641,43–4,543,20–9,19mai sigur1,38–5,031,01–4,972,39–10,00
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,14 0,17–2,11 0,00–2,36 | 1,45 0,59–2,30 0,36–2,53 | 2,59 0,76–4,41 0,28–4,89 | 30% 26% 44% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,29 2,43–6,16 1,94–6,65 | 4,70 2,96–6,44 2,49–6,91 | 9,00 5,39–12,60 4,44–13,56 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total șuturi | 13,53 9,61–17,46 8,52–18,55 | 13,04 9,47–16,60 8,52–17,56 | 26,57 19,08–34,06 17,03–36,11 | 50% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,61 5,66–11,55 4,83–12,38 | 9,22 6,54–11,90 5,80–12,64 | 17,83 12,20–23,45 10,64–25,02 | 40% 51% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,63 1,75–5,51 1,20–6,05 | 3,52 1,86–5,17 1,37–5,66 | 7,15 3,61–10,68 2,58–11,72 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,22 3,01–7,44 2,44–8,01 | 4,92 2,92–6,92 2,38–7,45 | 10,14 5,93–14,36 4,82–15,46 | 47% 40% |
| Posesie % | 44,44 37,65–51,23 35,98–52,90 | 55,84 49,06–62,63 47,39–64,30 | — | 23% 73% |
| Pase | 363 296–430 278–449 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 831 697–965 661–1000 | 19% 81% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,85 58,82–66,88 57,52–68,17 | 70,67 66,34–74,99 65,04–76,30 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 13,35 10,51–16,18 9,75–16,94 | 14,45 11,51–17,40 10,76–18,14 | 27,80 22,01–33,58 20,51–35,08 | 38% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,05 0,89–3,21 0,59–3,51 | 1,93 0,83–3,02 0,54–3,31 | 3,98 1,72–6,23 1,13–6,82 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,76 0,72–2,81 0,45–3,08 | 2,07 0,94–3,20 0,65–3,49 | 3,83 1,65–6,01 1,10–6,57 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,21 1,77–4,64 1,38–5,03 | 2,99 1,43–4,54 1,01–4,97 | 6,19 3,20–9,19 2,39–10,00 | 45% 16% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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