Ligue 1·Etapa 12·
Ligue 1·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
23%
25%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,011,652,66sigur0,04–1,980,79–2,500,84–4,48mai sigur0,00–2,230,57–2,730,36–4,96
Șuturi pe poartă
31%
14%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,664,548,20sigur1,80–5,522,80–6,284,59–11,80mai sigur1,31–6,012,33–6,753,64–12,76
Total șuturi
38%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8412,9224,75sigur7,91–15,769,35–16,4817,27–32,24mai sigur6,82–16,858,40–17,4415,22–34,29
Șuturi din careu
30%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,048,5915,63sigur4,10–9,985,91–11,2710,00–21,25mai sigur3,27–10,815,17–12,018,44–22,82
Șuturi blocate
37%
15%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,213,576,78sigur1,33–5,091,92–5,223,25–10,32mai sigur0,79–5,641,43–5,722,21–11,35
Cornere
37%
13%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,414,909,31sigur2,19–6,622,90–6,905,10–13,52mai sigur1,62–7,192,37–7,443,99–14,63
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție40,1459,97sigur33,35–46,9353,18–66,75mai sigur31,68–48,6051,51–68,42
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție376559934sigur308–443492–625801–1068mai sigur290–461475–643765–1104
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,1376,05sigur60,10–68,1671,72–80,37mai sigur58,80–69,4570,41–81,68
Faulturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4212,2824,69sigur9,58–15,259,33–15,2218,91–30,47mai sigur8,82–16,018,58–15,9717,41–31,98
Ofsaiduri
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,863,50sigur0,47–2,790,77–2,961,25–5,75mai sigur0,17–3,100,48–3,250,66–6,34
Cartonașe galbene
41%
21%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,843,75sigur0,86–2,960,71–2,971,57–5,92mai sigur0,59–3,220,42–3,261,01–6,48
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
47%
17%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,972,645,61sigur1,54–4,411,08–4,202,62–8,61mai sigur1,15–4,800,66–4,621,81–9,42
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,01 0,04–1,98 0,00–2,23 | 1,65 0,79–2,50 0,57–2,73 | 2,66 0,84–4,48 0,36–4,96 | 23% 25% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,66 1,80–5,52 1,31–6,01 | 4,54 2,80–6,28 2,33–6,75 | 8,20 4,59–11,80 3,64–12,76 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Total șuturi | 11,84 7,91–15,76 6,82–16,85 | 12,92 9,35–16,48 8,40–17,44 | 24,75 17,27–32,24 15,22–34,29 | 38% 55% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,04 4,10–9,98 3,27–10,81 | 8,59 5,91–11,27 5,17–12,01 | 15,63 10,00–21,25 8,44–22,82 | 30% 60% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,21 1,33–5,09 0,79–5,64 | 3,57 1,92–5,22 1,43–5,72 | 6,78 3,25–10,32 2,21–11,35 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Cornere | 4,41 2,19–6,62 1,62–7,19 | 4,90 2,90–6,90 2,37–7,44 | 9,31 5,10–13,52 3,99–14,63 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Posesie % | 40,14 33,35–46,93 31,68–48,60 | 59,97 53,18–66,75 51,51–68,42 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 376 308–443 290–461 | 559 492–625 475–643 | 934 801–1068 765–1104 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,13 60,10–68,16 58,80–69,45 | 76,05 71,72–80,37 70,41–81,68 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 12,42 9,58–15,25 8,82–16,01 | 12,28 9,33–15,22 8,58–15,97 | 24,69 18,91–30,47 17,41–31,98 | 47% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,63 0,47–2,79 0,17–3,10 | 1,86 0,77–2,96 0,48–3,25 | 3,50 1,25–5,75 0,66–6,34 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,91 0,86–2,96 0,59–3,22 | 1,84 0,71–2,97 0,42–3,26 | 3,75 1,57–5,92 1,01–6,48 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,97 1,54–4,41 1,15–4,80 | 2,64 1,08–4,20 0,66–4,62 | 5,61 2,62–8,61 1,81–9,42 | 47% 17% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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