Ligue 1·Etapa 12·
Ligue 1·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
25%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,372,79sigur0,45–2,390,51–2,220,96–4,61mai sigur0,20–2,640,28–2,450,48–5,09
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
13%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,834,309,13sigur2,96–6,692,56–6,045,52–12,73mai sigur2,47–7,182,09–6,514,57–13,69
Total șuturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9612,7626,72sigur10,03–17,889,20–16,3219,23–34,20mai sigur8,94–18,978,24–17,2817,18–36,26
Șuturi din careu
52%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,268,5617,82sigur6,31–12,205,88–11,2412,19–23,44mai sigur5,48–13,035,14–11,9810,63–25,01
Șuturi blocate
48%
15%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,993,617,60sigur2,11–5,871,96–5,264,07–11,14mai sigur1,57–6,421,47–5,763,03–12,17
Cornere
53%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,544,7710,31sigur3,33–7,762,77–6,776,10–14,52mai sigur2,75–8,332,23–7,304,99–15,63
Posesie %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,6354,61sigur38,84–52,4247,83–61,40mai sigur37,17–54,0946,15–63,07
Pase
28%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție408479888sigur341–476413–546754–1021mai sigur323–494395–563718–1057
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,5473,86sigur62,51–70,5669,54–78,18mai sigur61,21–71,8668,23–79,49
Faulturi
44%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2213,5626,78sigur10,38–16,0610,62–16,5121,00–32,56mai sigur9,62–16,819,87–17,2519,49–34,07
Ofsaiduri
40%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,833,72sigur0,72–3,040,74–2,921,46–5,97mai sigur0,42–3,350,45–3,210,87–6,56
Cartonașe galbene
36%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,932,114,04sigur0,88–2,980,98–3,241,86–6,22mai sigur0,61–3,240,69–3,531,30–6,77
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
37%
16%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,903,186,08sigur1,46–4,341,63–4,743,09–9,08mai sigur1,08–4,721,20–5,162,28–9,89
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,42 0,45–2,39 0,20–2,64 | 1,37 0,51–2,22 0,28–2,45 | 2,79 0,96–4,61 0,48–5,09 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,83 2,96–6,69 2,47–7,18 | 4,30 2,56–6,04 2,09–6,51 | 9,13 5,52–12,73 4,57–13,69 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 13,96 10,03–17,88 8,94–18,97 | 12,76 9,20–16,32 8,24–17,28 | 26,72 19,23–34,20 17,18–36,26 | 55% 37% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,26 6,31–12,20 5,48–13,03 | 8,56 5,88–11,24 5,14–11,98 | 17,82 12,19–23,44 10,63–25,01 | 52% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,99 2,11–5,87 1,57–6,42 | 3,61 1,96–5,26 1,47–5,76 | 7,60 4,07–11,14 3,03–12,17 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,54 3,33–7,76 2,75–8,33 | 4,77 2,77–6,77 2,23–7,30 | 10,31 6,10–14,52 4,99–15,63 | 53% 34% |
| Posesie % | 45,63 38,84–52,42 37,17–54,09 | 54,61 47,83–61,40 46,15–63,07 | — | 28% 68% |
| Pase | 408 341–476 323–494 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 28% 72% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,54 62,51–70,56 61,21–71,86 | 73,86 69,54–78,18 68,23–79,49 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 13,22 10,38–16,06 9,62–16,81 | 13,56 10,62–16,51 9,87–17,25 | 26,78 21,00–32,56 19,49–34,07 | 44% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,88 0,72–3,04 0,42–3,35 | 1,83 0,74–2,92 0,45–3,21 | 3,72 1,46–5,97 0,87–6,56 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,93 0,88–2,98 0,61–3,24 | 2,11 0,98–3,24 0,69–3,53 | 4,04 1,86–6,22 1,30–6,77 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,90 1,46–4,34 1,08–4,72 | 3,18 1,63–4,74 1,20–5,16 | 6,08 3,09–9,08 2,28–9,89 | 37% 16% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.18+