Ligue 1·Etapa 12·
Ligue 1·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
25%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,630,992,62sigur0,66–2,590,14–1,840,79–4,44mai sigur0,41–2,840,00–2,070,31–4,92
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,123,518,63sigur3,26–6,991,76–5,255,02–12,23mai sigur2,77–7,481,30–5,714,07–13,19
Total șuturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4111,2025,61sigur10,49–18,337,64–14,7718,13–33,10mai sigur9,39–19,436,68–15,7316,08–35,15
Șuturi din careu
62%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,257,4816,72sigur6,31–12,194,79–10,1611,10–22,35mai sigur5,48–13,024,06–10,899,53–23,91
Șuturi blocate
49%
16%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,493,056,55sigur1,61–5,381,40–4,713,01–10,08mai sigur1,07–5,920,91–5,201,98–11,12
Cornere
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,944,5110,45sigur3,73–8,152,51–6,516,24–14,66mai sigur3,15–8,731,98–7,045,13–15,77
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,5439,45sigur53,75–67,3332,66–46,23mai sigur52,08–69,0030,99–47,90
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție586361946sigur518–653294–427813–1080mai sigur500–671277–445777–1116
Precizie pase %
79%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,4967,68sigur70,46–78,5263,35–72,00mai sigur69,17–79,8162,04–73,31
Faulturi
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7711,3623,14sigur8,94–14,618,42–14,3117,35–28,92mai sigur8,18–15,377,67–15,0615,85–30,42
Ofsaiduri
49%
22%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,941,463,41sigur0,78–3,100,37–2,551,15–5,66mai sigur0,48–3,410,08–2,840,56–6,25
Cartonașe galbene
33%
23%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,743,24sigur0,45–2,550,61–2,871,06–5,42mai sigur0,18–2,810,32–3,160,51–5,98
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
27%
16%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,513,455,97sigur1,08–3,951,90–5,012,97–8,96mai sigur0,69–4,341,47–5,432,16–9,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,59 0,41–2,84 | 0,99 0,14–1,84 0,00–2,07 | 2,62 0,79–4,44 0,31–4,92 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,12 3,26–6,99 2,77–7,48 | 3,51 1,76–5,25 1,30–5,71 | 8,63 5,02–12,23 4,07–13,19 | 65% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 14,41 10,49–18,33 9,39–19,43 | 11,20 7,64–14,77 6,68–15,73 | 25,61 18,13–33,10 16,08–35,15 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,25 6,31–12,19 5,48–13,02 | 7,48 4,79–10,16 4,06–10,89 | 16,72 11,10–22,35 9,53–23,91 | 62% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,49 1,61–5,38 1,07–5,92 | 3,05 1,40–4,71 0,91–5,20 | 6,55 3,01–10,08 1,98–11,12 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,94 3,73–8,15 3,15–8,73 | 4,51 2,51–6,51 1,98–7,04 | 10,45 6,24–14,66 5,13–15,77 | 61% 27% |
| Posesie % | 60,54 53,75–67,33 52,08–69,00 | 39,45 32,66–46,23 30,99–47,90 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 586 518–653 500–671 | 361 294–427 277–445 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,49 70,46–78,52 69,17–79,81 | 67,68 63,35–72,00 62,04–73,31 | — | 79% 17% |
| Faulturi | 11,77 8,94–14,61 8,18–15,37 | 11,36 8,42–14,31 7,67–15,06 | 23,14 17,35–28,92 15,85–30,42 | 49% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,48–3,41 | 1,46 0,37–2,55 0,08–2,84 | 3,41 1,15–5,66 0,56–6,25 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,18–2,81 | 1,74 0,61–2,87 0,32–3,16 | 3,24 1,06–5,42 0,51–5,98 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,51 1,08–3,95 0,69–4,34 | 3,45 1,90–5,01 1,47–5,43 | 5,97 2,97–8,96 2,16–9,77 | 27% 16% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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