Ligue 1·Etapa 13·
Ligue 1·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
24%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,192,92sigur0,77–2,700,34–2,041,10–4,75mai sigur0,51–2,950,11–2,270,62–5,23
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,644,279,90sigur3,77–7,502,52–6,016,30–13,51mai sigur3,28–7,992,06–6,485,34–14,46
Total șuturi
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,6511,4528,09sigur12,72–20,577,88–15,0120,60–35,58mai sigur11,63–21,666,92–15,9718,55–37,63
Șuturi din careu
75%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,177,7518,92sigur8,23–14,115,07–10,4313,30–24,54mai sigur7,40–14,944,33–11,1711,73–26,11
Șuturi blocate
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,812,757,56sigur2,93–6,691,09–4,404,02–11,09mai sigur2,38–7,230,60–4,892,98–12,13
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,264,2010,46sigur4,05–8,472,20–6,206,25–14,68mai sigur3,47–9,051,67–6,745,14–15,78
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,2740,48sigur53,48–67,0633,70–47,26mai sigur51,81–68,7332,02–48,94
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție537354892sigur470–605288–421758–1025mai sigur452–623270–438722–1061
Precizie pase %
79%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,9166,15sigur68,88–76,9461,83–70,48mai sigur67,59–78,2360,52–71,79
Faulturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2013,7325,93sigur9,36–15,0410,78–16,6720,15–31,71mai sigur8,61–15,7910,04–17,4218,64–33,22
Ofsaiduri
45%
22%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,623,52sigur0,74–3,060,53–2,721,27–5,77mai sigur0,44–3,360,24–3,010,68–6,36
Cartonașe galbene
25%
19%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,592,434,02sigur0,54–2,641,30–3,561,84–6,20mai sigur0,28–2,911,01–3,851,29–6,76
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,120,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,653,676,33sigur1,22–4,092,12–5,233,33–9,32mai sigur0,83–4,481,69–5,652,52–10,13
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,73 0,77–2,70 0,51–2,95 | 1,19 0,34–2,04 0,11–2,27 | 2,92 1,10–4,75 0,62–5,23 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,64 3,77–7,50 3,28–7,99 | 4,27 2,52–6,01 2,06–6,48 | 9,90 6,30–13,51 5,34–14,46 | 61% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 16,65 12,72–20,57 11,63–21,66 | 11,45 7,88–15,01 6,92–15,97 | 28,09 20,60–35,58 18,55–37,63 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,17 8,23–14,11 7,40–14,94 | 7,75 5,07–10,43 4,33–11,17 | 18,92 13,30–24,54 11,73–26,11 | 75% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,81 2,93–6,69 2,38–7,23 | 2,75 1,09–4,40 0,60–4,89 | 7,56 4,02–11,09 2,98–12,13 | 71% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,26 4,05–8,47 3,47–9,05 | 4,20 2,20–6,20 1,67–6,74 | 10,46 6,25–14,68 5,14–15,78 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 60,27 53,48–67,06 51,81–68,73 | 40,48 33,70–47,26 32,02–48,94 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 537 470–605 452–623 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 892 758–1025 722–1061 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,91 68,88–76,94 67,59–78,23 | 66,15 61,83–70,48 60,52–71,79 | — | 79% 17% |
| Faulturi | 12,20 9,36–15,04 8,61–15,79 | 13,73 10,78–16,67 10,04–17,42 | 25,93 20,15–31,71 18,64–33,22 | 34% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,36 | 1,62 0,53–2,72 0,24–3,01 | 3,52 1,27–5,77 0,68–6,36 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,59 0,54–2,64 0,28–2,91 | 2,43 1,30–3,56 1,01–3,85 | 4,02 1,84–6,20 1,29–6,76 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,65 1,22–4,09 0,83–4,48 | 3,67 2,12–5,23 1,69–5,65 | 6,33 3,33–9,32 2,52–10,13 | 27% 15% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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