Ligue 1·Etapa 13·
Ligue 1·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
25%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,142,74sigur0,63–2,560,29–2,000,92–4,56mai sigur0,38–2,820,06–2,230,44–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,983,968,95sigur3,12–6,852,22–5,715,34–12,55mai sigur2,63–7,341,76–6,174,39–13,51
Total șuturi
78%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2310,7325,95sigur11,30–19,157,16–14,2918,47–33,44mai sigur10,21–20,256,20–15,2516,42–35,49
Șuturi din careu
69%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,677,1816,85sigur6,73–12,614,50–9,8611,23–22,48mai sigur5,90–13,443,76–10,609,66–24,04
Șuturi blocate
60%
14%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,892,716,60sigur2,00–5,771,06–4,363,06–10,13mai sigur1,46–6,310,57–4,862,03–11,17
Cornere
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,504,349,83sigur3,28–7,712,34–6,345,62–14,05mai sigur2,71–8,281,80–6,874,51–15,15
Posesie %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,6844,15sigur48,89–62,4837,37–50,94mai sigur47,22–64,1435,69–52,61
Pase
84%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție545425971sigur478–613359–492837–1104mai sigur460–631341–509801–1140
Precizie pase %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,9971,58sigur69,96–78,0267,26–75,91mai sigur68,67–79,3165,95–77,22
Faulturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5710,9924,56sigur10,73–16,418,05–13,9318,78–30,34mai sigur9,98–17,167,30–14,6817,27–31,85
Ofsaiduri
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,633,28sigur0,48–2,800,54–2,731,02–5,53mai sigur0,18–3,100,25–3,010,43–6,12
Cartonașe galbene
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,933,59sigur0,62–2,710,80–3,051,41–5,77mai sigur0,35–2,980,51–3,350,85–6,33
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,633,476,10sigur1,19–4,061,91–5,033,10–9,09mai sigur0,80–4,451,49–5,452,29–9,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,60 0,63–2,56 0,38–2,82 | 1,14 0,29–2,00 0,06–2,23 | 2,74 0,92–4,56 0,44–5,04 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,98 3,12–6,85 2,63–7,34 | 3,96 2,22–5,71 1,76–6,17 | 8,95 5,34–12,55 4,39–13,51 | 57% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 15,23 11,30–19,15 10,21–20,25 | 10,73 7,16–14,29 6,20–15,25 | 25,95 18,47–33,44 16,42–35,49 | 78% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,67 6,73–12,61 5,90–13,44 | 7,18 4,50–9,86 3,76–10,60 | 16,85 11,23–22,48 9,66–24,04 | 69% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,89 2,00–5,77 1,46–6,31 | 2,71 1,06–4,36 0,57–4,86 | 6,60 3,06–10,13 2,03–11,17 | 60% 14% 25% |
| Cornere | 5,50 3,28–7,71 2,71–8,28 | 4,34 2,34–6,34 1,80–6,87 | 9,83 5,62–14,05 4,51–15,15 | 58% 30% |
| Posesie % | 55,68 48,89–62,48 47,22–64,14 | 44,15 37,37–50,94 35,69–52,61 | — | 73% 23% |
| Pase | 545 478–613 460–631 | 425 359–492 341–509 | 971 837–1104 801–1140 | 84% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,99 69,96–78,02 68,67–79,31 | 71,58 67,26–75,91 65,95–77,22 | — | 60% 35% |
| Faulturi | 13,57 10,73–16,41 9,98–17,16 | 10,99 8,05–13,93 7,30–14,68 | 24,56 18,78–30,34 17,27–31,85 | 66% 27% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,10 | 1,63 0,54–2,73 0,25–3,01 | 3,28 1,02–5,53 0,43–6,12 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,66 0,62–2,71 0,35–2,98 | 1,93 0,80–3,05 0,51–3,35 | 3,59 1,41–5,77 0,85–6,33 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,63 1,19–4,06 0,80–4,45 | 3,47 1,91–5,03 1,49–5,45 | 6,10 3,10–9,09 2,29–9,90 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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