Ligue 1·Etapa 14·
Ligue 1·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,503,00sigur0,53–2,470,64–2,351,17–4,82mai sigur0,28–2,720,41–2,580,69–5,30
Șuturi pe poartă
44%
13%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,584,569,14sigur2,72–6,442,82–6,305,53–12,74mai sigur2,23–6,932,35–6,774,58–13,70
Total șuturi
51%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9913,4027,39sigur10,07–17,929,84–16,9719,91–34,88mai sigur8,97–19,018,88–17,9217,85–36,93
Șuturi din careu
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,879,1418,01sigur5,93–11,816,46–11,8212,38–23,63mai sigur5,10–12,645,72–12,5610,82–25,20
Șuturi blocate
48%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,223,828,04sigur2,34–6,102,17–5,484,51–11,58mai sigur1,79–6,641,68–5,973,47–12,61
Cornere
53%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,724,9810,69sigur3,50–7,932,98–6,986,48–14,91mai sigur2,93–8,512,44–7,515,37–16,01
Posesie %
37%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,0252,83sigur41,23–54,8146,05–59,62mai sigur39,56–56,4844,38–61,29
Pase
37%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție434473907sigur366–501407–540773–1040mai sigur348–519389–557737–1076
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,9673,88sigur63,93–71,9969,56–78,21mai sigur62,64–73,2868,25–79,52
Faulturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8713,1124,98sigur9,03–14,7010,17–16,0619,20–30,76mai sigur8,27–15,469,42–16,8117,69–32,27
Ofsaiduri
39%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,773,53sigur0,60–2,920,67–2,861,27–5,78mai sigur0,30–3,220,39–3,150,69–6,37
Cartonașe galbene
36%
20%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,922,134,05sigur0,87–2,971,00–3,261,87–6,23mai sigur0,61–3,240,71–3,551,31–6,78
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
42%
17%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,023,026,04sigur1,59–4,461,46–4,573,05–9,03mai sigur1,20–4,851,04–5,002,24–9,85
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,50 0,53–2,47 0,28–2,72 | 1,50 0,64–2,35 0,41–2,58 | 3,00 1,17–4,82 0,69–5,30 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,58 2,72–6,44 2,23–6,93 | 4,56 2,82–6,30 2,35–6,77 | 9,14 5,53–12,74 4,58–13,70 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Total șuturi | 13,99 10,07–17,92 8,97–19,01 | 13,40 9,84–16,97 8,88–17,92 | 27,39 19,91–34,88 17,85–36,93 | 51% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,87 5,93–11,81 5,10–12,64 | 9,14 6,46–11,82 5,72–12,56 | 18,01 12,38–23,63 10,82–25,20 | 43% 48% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,22 2,34–6,10 1,79–6,64 | 3,82 2,17–5,48 1,68–5,97 | 8,04 4,51–11,58 3,47–12,61 | 48% 14% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,72 3,50–7,93 2,93–8,51 | 4,98 2,98–6,98 2,44–7,51 | 10,69 6,48–14,91 5,37–16,01 | 53% 35% |
| Posesie % | 48,02 41,23–54,81 39,56–56,48 | 52,83 46,05–59,62 44,38–61,29 | — | 37% 59% |
| Pase | 434 366–501 348–519 | 473 407–540 389–557 | 907 773–1040 737–1076 | 37% 63% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,96 63,93–71,99 62,64–73,28 | 73,88 69,56–78,21 68,25–79,52 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 11,87 9,03–14,70 8,27–15,46 | 13,11 10,17–16,06 9,42–16,81 | 24,98 19,20–30,76 17,69–32,27 | 36% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,60–2,92 0,30–3,22 | 1,77 0,67–2,86 0,39–3,15 | 3,53 1,27–5,78 0,69–6,37 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,92 0,87–2,97 0,61–3,24 | 2,13 1,00–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 4,05 1,87–6,23 1,31–6,78 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,02 1,59–4,46 1,20–4,85 | 3,02 1,46–4,57 1,04–5,00 | 6,04 3,05–9,03 2,24–9,85 | 42% 17% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.