Ligue 1·Etapa 14·
Ligue 1·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
23%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,760,962,71sigur0,79–2,720,10–1,810,89–4,54mai sigur0,54–2,970,00–2,040,41–5,02
Șuturi pe poartă
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,343,348,68sigur3,48–7,201,60–5,095,08–12,29mai sigur2,99–7,691,14–5,554,12–13,24
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,3610,3226,68sigur12,44–20,296,76–13,8819,19–34,17mai sigur11,34–21,385,80–14,8417,14–36,22
Șuturi din careu
79%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,696,7817,47sigur7,75–13,644,10–9,4611,85–23,09mai sigur6,92–14,473,36–10,2010,28–24,66
Șuturi blocate
58%
15%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,842,816,65sigur1,96–5,721,15–4,463,11–10,18mai sigur1,41–6,260,66–4,952,07–11,22
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,034,2810,31sigur3,82–8,252,28–6,286,10–14,52mai sigur3,25–8,821,74–6,814,99–15,63
Posesie %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,7942,53sigur51,00–64,5835,74–49,31mai sigur49,33–66,2534,07–50,98
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție502354856sigur434–569288–421722–990mai sigur416–587270–438687–1025
Precizie pase %
70%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,5364,91sigur65,50–73,5660,58–69,23mai sigur64,21–74,8659,28–70,54
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6513,7627,41sigur10,81–16,4910,81–16,7021,63–33,19mai sigur10,06–17,2510,06–17,4520,12–34,70
Ofsaiduri
42%
21%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,941,833,77sigur0,78–3,100,73–2,921,51–6,02mai sigur0,48–3,400,44–3,210,92–6,61
Cartonașe galbene
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,853,48sigur0,57–2,670,72–2,981,30–5,66mai sigur0,31–2,940,43–3,270,74–6,21
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
22%
15%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,303,635,93sigur0,86–3,732,07–5,182,93–8,92mai sigur0,47–4,121,65–5,612,12–9,73
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,76 0,79–2,72 0,54–2,97 | 0,96 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 2,71 0,89–4,54 0,41–5,02 | 56% 23% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,34 3,48–7,20 2,99–7,69 | 3,34 1,60–5,09 1,14–5,55 | 8,68 5,08–12,29 4,12–13,24 | 69% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 16,36 12,44–20,29 11,34–21,38 | 10,32 6,76–13,88 5,80–14,84 | 26,68 19,19–34,17 17,14–36,22 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,69 7,75–13,64 6,92–14,47 | 6,78 4,10–9,46 3,36–10,20 | 17,47 11,85–23,09 10,28–24,66 | 79% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,84 1,96–5,72 1,41–6,26 | 2,81 1,15–4,46 0,66–4,95 | 6,65 3,11–10,18 2,07–11,22 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Cornere | 6,03 3,82–8,25 3,25–8,82 | 4,28 2,28–6,28 1,74–6,81 | 10,31 6,10–14,52 4,99–15,63 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 57,79 51,00–64,58 49,33–66,25 | 42,53 35,74–49,31 34,07–50,98 | — | 80% 17% |
| Pase | 502 434–569 416–587 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 856 722–990 687–1025 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,53 65,50–73,56 64,21–74,86 | 64,91 60,58–69,23 59,28–70,54 | — | 70% 25% |
| Faulturi | 13,65 10,81–16,49 10,06–17,25 | 13,76 10,81–16,70 10,06–17,45 | 27,41 21,63–33,19 20,12–34,70 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,48–3,40 | 1,83 0,73–2,92 0,44–3,21 | 3,77 1,51–6,02 0,92–6,61 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,62 0,57–2,67 0,31–2,94 | 1,85 0,72–2,98 0,43–3,27 | 3,48 1,30–5,66 0,74–6,21 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,30 0,86–3,73 0,47–4,12 | 3,63 2,07–5,18 1,65–5,61 | 5,93 2,93–8,92 2,12–9,73 | 22% 15% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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