Ligue 1·Etapa 15·
Ligue 1·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
31%
26%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,191,462,64sigur0,22–2,150,60–2,310,82–4,47mai sigur0,00–2,410,37–2,540,34–4,95
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,304,538,82sigur2,43–6,162,78–6,275,22–12,43mai sigur1,94–6,652,32–6,734,26–13,38
Total șuturi
59%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9713,3028,27sigur11,04–18,899,74–16,8620,78–35,76mai sigur9,95–19,988,78–17,8218,73–37,81
Șuturi din careu
54%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,568,6518,21sigur6,62–12,505,97–11,3312,59–23,83mai sigur5,79–13,335,23–12,0711,02–25,40
Șuturi blocate
44%
14%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,993,917,90sigur2,11–5,872,25–5,564,36–11,43mai sigur1,57–6,421,76–6,053,33–12,47
Cornere
45%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,064,9910,05sigur2,85–7,282,99–6,995,84–14,26mai sigur2,28–7,852,46–7,524,73–15,37
Posesie %
18%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,9857,74sigur36,19–49,7750,95–64,52mai sigur34,52–51,4449,28–66,19
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție376520896sigur309–443454–586762–1029mai sigur290–461436–604726–1065
Precizie pase %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,2575,88sigur60,22–68,2871,56–80,21mai sigur58,93–69,5870,25–81,52
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7411,6624,39sigur9,90–15,578,71–14,6018,61–30,17mai sigur9,14–16,337,96–15,3517,10–31,68
Ofsaiduri
40%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,803,67sigur0,70–3,030,71–2,891,41–5,92mai sigur0,40–3,330,42–3,180,82–6,51
Cartonașe galbene
43%
22%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,663,53sigur0,82–2,920,53–2,791,35–5,71mai sigur0,56–3,190,24–3,080,79–6,27
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,090,18sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
43%
17%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,962,885,84sigur1,52–4,401,32–4,442,85–8,83mai sigur1,14–4,780,90–4,862,04–9,65
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,19 0,22–2,15 0,00–2,41 | 1,46 0,60–2,31 0,37–2,54 | 2,64 0,82–4,47 0,34–4,95 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,30 2,43–6,16 1,94–6,65 | 4,53 2,78–6,27 2,32–6,73 | 8,82 5,22–12,43 4,26–13,38 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 14,97 11,04–18,89 9,95–19,98 | 13,30 9,74–16,86 8,78–17,82 | 28,27 20,78–35,76 18,73–37,81 | 59% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,56 6,62–12,50 5,79–13,33 | 8,65 5,97–11,33 5,23–12,07 | 18,21 12,59–23,83 11,02–25,40 | 54% 37% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,99 2,11–5,87 1,57–6,42 | 3,91 2,25–5,56 1,76–6,05 | 7,90 4,36–11,43 3,33–12,47 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Cornere | 5,06 2,85–7,28 2,28–7,85 | 4,99 2,99–6,99 2,46–7,52 | 10,05 5,84–14,26 4,73–15,37 | 45% 43% |
| Posesie % | 42,98 36,19–49,77 34,52–51,44 | 57,74 50,95–64,52 49,28–66,19 | — | 18% 79% |
| Pase | 376 309–443 290–461 | 520 454–586 436–604 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,25 60,22–68,28 58,93–69,58 | 75,88 71,56–80,21 70,25–81,52 | — | 92% |
| Faulturi | 12,74 9,90–15,57 9,14–16,33 | 11,66 8,71–14,60 7,96–15,35 | 24,39 18,61–30,17 17,10–31,68 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,86 0,70–3,03 0,40–3,33 | 1,80 0,71–2,89 0,42–3,18 | 3,67 1,41–5,92 0,82–6,51 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,87 0,82–2,92 0,56–3,19 | 1,66 0,53–2,79 0,24–3,08 | 3,53 1,35–5,71 0,79–6,27 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,96 1,52–4,40 1,14–4,78 | 2,88 1,32–4,44 0,90–4,86 | 5,84 2,85–8,83 2,04–9,65 | 43% 17% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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