Ligue 1·Etapa 15·
Ligue 1·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
23%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,222,98sigur0,80–2,730,36–2,071,16–4,81mai sigur0,55–2,990,13–2,300,68–5,28
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,493,929,40sigur3,62–7,352,17–5,665,80–13,01mai sigur3,14–7,841,71–6,124,84–13,96
Total șuturi
72%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,3211,8627,18sigur11,40–19,258,30–15,4219,70–34,67mai sigur10,31–20,347,34–16,3817,65–36,72
Șuturi din careu
63%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,867,9817,84sigur6,92–12,815,30–10,6612,22–23,47mai sigur6,09–13,644,56–11,4010,65–25,03
Șuturi blocate
55%
14%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,183,297,47sigur2,30–6,061,64–4,943,94–11,01mai sigur1,75–6,611,15–5,442,90–12,04
Cornere
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,434,359,78sigur3,21–7,642,35–6,355,57–13,99mai sigur2,64–8,211,82–6,894,46–15,10
Posesie %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,1848,17sigur46,39–59,9741,39–54,96mai sigur44,72–61,6439,72–56,63
Pase
67%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție522468990sigur455–589402–535857–1124mai sigur437–607384–552821–1160
Precizie pase %
35%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,6274,20sigur67,59–75,6569,87–78,52mai sigur66,30–76,9468,56–79,83
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4213,8025,21sigur8,58–14,2510,85–16,7419,43–31,00mai sigur7,82–15,0110,10–17,4917,93–32,50
Ofsaiduri
49%
21%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,101,613,71sigur0,94–3,260,52–2,711,46–5,96mai sigur0,63–3,560,23–3,000,87–6,55
Cartonașe galbene
29%
20%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,712,263,97sigur0,66–2,761,13–3,391,79–6,15mai sigur0,39–3,030,84–3,681,23–6,71
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
31%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,763,496,25sigur1,32–4,191,94–5,053,26–9,24mai sigur0,93–4,581,51–5,472,45–10,06
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,80–2,73 0,55–2,99 | 1,22 0,36–2,07 0,13–2,30 | 2,98 1,16–4,81 0,68–5,28 | 50% 23% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,49 3,62–7,35 3,14–7,84 | 3,92 2,17–5,66 1,71–6,12 | 9,40 5,80–13,01 4,84–13,96 | 64% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 15,32 11,40–19,25 10,31–20,34 | 11,86 8,30–15,42 7,34–16,38 | 27,18 19,70–34,67 17,65–36,72 | 72% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,86 6,92–12,81 6,09–13,64 | 7,98 5,30–10,66 4,56–11,40 | 17,84 12,22–23,47 10,65–25,03 | 63% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,18 2,30–6,06 1,75–6,61 | 3,29 1,64–4,94 1,15–5,44 | 7,47 3,94–11,01 2,90–12,04 | 55% 14% 30% |
| Cornere | 5,43 3,21–7,64 2,64–8,21 | 4,35 2,35–6,35 1,82–6,89 | 9,78 5,57–13,99 4,46–15,10 | 57% 31% |
| Posesie % | 53,18 46,39–59,97 44,72–61,64 | 48,17 41,39–54,96 39,72–56,63 | — | 59% 36% |
| Pase | 522 455–589 437–607 | 468 402–535 384–552 | 990 857–1124 821–1160 | 67% 32% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,62 67,59–75,65 66,30–76,94 | 74,20 69,87–78,52 68,56–79,83 | — | 35% 61% |
| Faulturi | 11,42 8,58–14,25 7,82–15,01 | 13,80 10,85–16,74 10,10–17,49 | 25,21 19,43–31,00 17,93–32,50 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,10 0,94–3,26 0,63–3,56 | 1,61 0,52–2,71 0,23–3,00 | 3,71 1,46–5,96 0,87–6,55 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,71 0,66–2,76 0,39–3,03 | 2,26 1,13–3,39 0,84–3,68 | 3,97 1,79–6,15 1,23–6,71 | 29% 20% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,76 1,32–4,19 0,93–4,58 | 3,49 1,94–5,05 1,51–5,47 | 6,25 3,26–9,24 2,45–10,06 | 31% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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