Ligue 1·Etapa 16·
Ligue 1·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
23%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,841,193,02sigur0,87–2,800,33–2,041,20–4,85mai sigur0,62–3,050,11–2,270,72–5,33
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,464,099,55sigur3,60–7,322,35–5,845,95–13,16mai sigur3,11–7,811,89–6,304,99–14,11
Total șuturi
82%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,2210,9527,17sigur12,29–20,147,39–14,5119,68–34,65mai sigur11,20–21,236,43–15,4717,63–36,71
Șuturi din careu
73%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,097,0217,11sigur7,15–13,034,34–9,7011,49–22,73mai sigur6,32–13,863,60–10,449,92–24,30
Șuturi blocate
57%
15%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,862,886,74sigur1,98–5,741,23–4,543,21–10,28mai sigur1,43–6,280,74–5,032,17–11,31
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,964,0710,03sigur3,74–8,172,07–6,075,81–14,24mai sigur3,17–8,741,54–6,604,71–15,35
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,3146,36sigur47,52–61,1039,58–53,15mai sigur45,85–62,7737,91–54,82
Pase
70%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție511449961sigur444–579383–516827–1094mai sigur426–597365–533791–1130
Precizie pase %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,3473,08sigur69,31–77,3768,75–77,40mai sigur68,02–78,6767,44–78,71
Faulturi
36%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6112,9424,55sigur8,77–14,4510,00–15,8818,77–30,33mai sigur8,02–15,209,25–16,6317,26–31,84
Ofsaiduri
41%
22%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,841,743,59sigur0,68–3,000,65–2,841,33–5,84mai sigur0,38–3,310,36–3,130,74–6,43
Cartonașe galbene
29%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,692,283,97sigur0,65–2,741,15–3,411,79–6,15mai sigur0,38–3,010,86–3,701,24–6,71
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
29%
15%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,703,556,25sigur1,27–4,141,99–5,103,26–9,24mai sigur0,88–4,521,57–5,532,44–10,05
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,84 0,87–2,80 0,62–3,05 | 1,19 0,33–2,04 0,11–2,27 | 3,02 1,20–4,85 0,72–5,33 | 53% 23% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,46 3,60–7,32 3,11–7,81 | 4,09 2,35–5,84 1,89–6,30 | 9,55 5,95–13,16 4,99–14,11 | 61% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 16,22 12,29–20,14 11,20–21,23 | 10,95 7,39–14,51 6,43–15,47 | 27,17 19,68–34,65 17,63–36,71 | 82% 13% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,09 7,15–13,03 6,32–13,86 | 7,02 4,34–9,70 3,60–10,44 | 17,11 11,49–22,73 9,92–24,30 | 73% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,86 1,98–5,74 1,43–6,28 | 2,88 1,23–4,54 0,74–5,03 | 6,74 3,21–10,28 2,17–11,31 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,96 3,74–8,17 3,17–8,74 | 4,07 2,07–6,07 1,54–6,60 | 10,03 5,81–14,24 4,71–15,35 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 54,31 47,52–61,10 45,85–62,77 | 46,36 39,58–53,15 37,91–54,82 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 511 444–579 426–597 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 961 827–1094 791–1130 | 70% 30% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,34 69,31–77,37 68,02–78,67 | 73,08 68,75–77,40 67,44–78,71 | — | 49% 46% |
| Faulturi | 11,61 8,77–14,45 8,02–15,20 | 12,94 10,00–15,88 9,25–16,63 | 24,55 18,77–30,33 17,26–31,84 | 36% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,84 0,68–3,00 0,38–3,31 | 1,74 0,65–2,84 0,36–3,13 | 3,59 1,33–5,84 0,74–6,43 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,69 0,65–2,74 0,38–3,01 | 2,28 1,15–3,41 0,86–3,70 | 3,97 1,79–6,15 1,24–6,71 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,70 1,27–4,14 0,88–4,52 | 3,55 1,99–5,10 1,57–5,53 | 6,25 3,26–9,24 2,44–10,05 | 29% 15% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.18+