Ligue 1·Etapa 17·
Ligue 1·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
24%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,221,742,96sigur0,25–2,190,89–2,601,14–4,79mai sigur0,00–2,440,66–2,830,66–5,27
Șuturi pe poartă
31%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,245,219,45sigur2,37–6,103,47–6,965,85–13,06mai sigur1,88–6,593,01–7,424,89–14,01
Total șuturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9314,1226,04sigur8,00–15,8510,56–17,6818,56–33,53mai sigur6,91–16,949,60–18,6416,51–35,58
Șuturi din careu
23%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,299,9017,20sigur4,35–10,247,22–12,5811,57–22,82mai sigur3,52–11,076,48–13,3210,01–24,39
Șuturi blocate
26%
14%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,954,107,05sigur1,06–4,832,45–5,753,51–10,58mai sigur0,52–5,371,95–6,242,48–11,62
Cornere
34%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,725,4910,21sigur2,50–6,933,49–7,495,99–14,42mai sigur1,93–7,502,95–8,024,88–15,53
Posesie %
41%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,9151,91sigur42,12–55,7045,12–58,69mai sigur40,45–57,3743,45–60,36
Pase
41%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție445472917sigur377–512406–539783–1050mai sigur359–530388–556747–1086
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,5875,67sigur65,55–73,6171,34–79,99mai sigur64,26–74,9070,03–81,30
Faulturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7911,9424,73sigur9,96–15,639,00–14,8818,95–30,51mai sigur9,20–16,398,25–15,6317,45–32,02
Ofsaiduri
34%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,973,66sigur0,53–2,850,88–3,071,41–5,92mai sigur0,23–3,150,59–3,350,82–6,51
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,012,174,18sigur0,96–3,061,04–3,302,00–6,36mai sigur0,70–3,330,75–3,591,45–6,92
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,080,20sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,270,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,400,00–0,83
Parade portar
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,432,936,36sigur1,99–4,861,37–4,493,36–9,35mai sigur1,60–5,250,95–4,912,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,22 0,25–2,19 0,00–2,44 | 1,74 0,89–2,60 0,66–2,83 | 2,96 1,14–4,79 0,66–5,27 | 27% 24% 50% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,24 2,37–6,10 1,88–6,59 | 5,21 3,47–6,96 3,01–7,42 | 9,45 5,85–13,06 4,89–14,01 | 31% 56% |
| Total șuturi | 11,93 8,00–15,85 6,91–16,94 | 14,12 10,56–17,68 9,60–18,64 | 26,04 18,56–33,53 16,51–35,58 | 30% 63% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,29 4,35–10,24 3,52–11,07 | 9,90 7,22–12,58 6,48–13,32 | 17,20 11,57–22,82 10,01–24,39 | 23% 69% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,95 1,06–4,83 0,52–5,37 | 4,10 2,45–5,75 1,95–6,24 | 7,05 3,51–10,58 2,48–11,62 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Cornere | 4,72 2,50–6,93 1,93–7,50 | 5,49 3,49–7,49 2,95–8,02 | 10,21 5,99–14,42 4,88–15,53 | 34% 53% |
| Posesie % | 48,91 42,12–55,70 40,45–57,37 | 51,91 45,12–58,69 43,45–60,36 | — | 41% 55% |
| Pase | 445 377–512 359–530 | 472 406–539 388–556 | 917 783–1050 747–1086 | 41% 59% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,58 65,55–73,61 64,26–74,90 | 75,67 71,34–79,99 70,03–81,30 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 12,79 9,96–15,63 9,20–16,39 | 11,94 9,00–14,88 8,25–15,63 | 24,73 18,95–30,51 17,45–32,02 | 53% 39% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,23–3,15 | 1,97 0,88–3,07 0,59–3,35 | 3,66 1,41–5,92 0,82–6,51 | 34% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,01 0,96–3,06 0,70–3,33 | 2,17 1,04–3,30 0,75–3,59 | 4,18 2,00–6,36 1,45–6,92 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,43 1,99–4,86 1,60–5,25 | 2,93 1,37–4,49 0,95–4,91 | 6,36 3,36–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 50% 16% 34% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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