Ligue 1·Etapa 19·
Ligue 1·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
20%
22%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,991,862,85sigur0,02–1,961,00–2,711,03–4,67mai sigur0,00–2,210,77–2,940,55–5,15
Șuturi pe poartă
23%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,885,699,58sigur2,02–5,753,95–7,445,97–13,18mai sigur1,53–6,243,49–7,905,02–14,14
Total șuturi
27%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8014,4926,29sigur7,87–15,7210,93–18,0518,80–33,77mai sigur6,78–16,819,97–19,0116,75–35,82
Șuturi din careu
27%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,1710,3518,52sigur5,23–11,117,67–13,0312,90–24,15mai sigur4,40–11,946,94–13,7711,33–25,71
Șuturi blocate
34%
15%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,213,766,97sigur1,33–5,092,10–5,413,43–10,50mai sigur0,79–5,641,61–5,902,40–11,54
Cornere
37%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,735,259,98sigur2,51–6,943,25–7,255,77–14,19mai sigur1,94–7,512,72–7,794,66–15,30
Posesie %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție35,2463,31sigur28,45–42,0356,53–70,10mai sigur26,78–43,7054,86–71,77
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție336576913sigur269–403510–643779–1046mai sigur251–422492–660743–1082
Precizie pase %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,7675,75sigur57,73–65,7971,43–80,08mai sigur56,44–67,0870,12–81,39
Faulturi
68%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8111,0024,81sigur10,97–16,658,06–13,9519,03–30,59mai sigur10,21–17,407,31–14,7017,52–32,10
Ofsaiduri
36%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,922,104,02sigur0,76–3,081,01–3,191,77–6,28mai sigur0,46–3,380,72–3,481,18–6,86
Cartonașe galbene
45%
22%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,533,37sigur0,80–2,900,40–2,661,19–5,55mai sigur0,53–3,160,11–2,950,64–6,11
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,080,18sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,400,00–0,81
Parade portar
63%
14%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,982,636,61sigur2,54–5,421,07–4,183,62–9,60mai sigur2,16–5,800,65–4,612,80–10,41
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,99 0,02–1,96 0,00–2,21 | 1,86 1,00–2,71 0,77–2,94 | 2,85 1,03–4,67 0,55–5,15 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,88 2,02–5,75 1,53–6,24 | 5,69 3,95–7,44 3,49–7,90 | 9,58 5,97–13,18 5,02–14,14 | 23% 66% |
| Total șuturi | 11,80 7,87–15,72 6,78–16,81 | 14,49 10,93–18,05 9,97–19,01 | 26,29 18,80–33,77 16,75–35,82 | 27% 67% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,17 5,23–11,11 4,40–11,94 | 10,35 7,67–13,03 6,94–13,77 | 18,52 12,90–24,15 11,33–25,71 | 27% 65% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,21 1,33–5,09 0,79–5,64 | 3,76 2,10–5,41 1,61–5,90 | 6,97 3,43–10,50 2,40–11,54 | 34% 15% 50% |
| Cornere | 4,73 2,51–6,94 1,94–7,51 | 5,25 3,25–7,25 2,72–7,79 | 9,98 5,77–14,19 4,66–15,30 | 37% 50% |
| Posesie % | 35,24 28,45–42,03 26,78–43,70 | 63,31 56,53–70,10 54,86–71,77 | — | 95% |
| Pase | 336 269–403 251–422 | 576 510–643 492–660 | 913 779–1046 743–1082 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,76 57,73–65,79 56,44–67,08 | 75,75 71,43–80,08 70,12–81,39 | — | 96% |
| Faulturi | 13,81 10,97–16,65 10,21–17,40 | 11,00 8,06–13,95 7,31–14,70 | 24,81 19,03–30,59 17,52–32,10 | 68% 25% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,92 0,76–3,08 0,46–3,38 | 2,10 1,01–3,19 0,72–3,48 | 4,02 1,77–6,28 1,18–6,86 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,85 0,80–2,90 0,53–3,16 | 1,53 0,40–2,66 0,11–2,95 | 3,37 1,19–5,55 0,64–6,11 | 45% 22% 32% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,98 2,54–5,42 2,16–5,80 | 2,63 1,07–4,18 0,65–4,61 | 6,61 3,62–9,60 2,80–10,41 | 63% 14% 23% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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