Ligue 1·Etapa 21·
Ligue 1·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
65%
20%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,150,943,09sigur1,18–3,110,09–1,801,27–4,91mai sigur0,93–3,370,00–2,030,79–5,39
Șuturi pe poartă
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,543,399,93sigur4,68–8,401,65–5,136,32–13,53mai sigur4,19–8,891,18–5,605,37–14,49
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,4710,3528,82sigur14,54–22,396,79–13,9121,33–36,31mai sigur13,45–23,485,83–14,8719,28–38,36
Șuturi din careu
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,846,7718,61sigur8,90–14,784,09–9,4512,98–24,23mai sigur8,07–15,613,35–10,1911,42–25,80
Șuturi blocate
62%
13%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,503,157,65sigur2,62–6,381,50–4,804,12–11,19mai sigur2,07–6,931,01–5,303,08–12,22
Cornere
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,793,9510,75sigur4,58–9,011,95–5,956,53–14,96mai sigur4,01–9,581,42–6,495,43–16,07
Posesie %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,6838,26sigur55,89–69,4731,48–45,05mai sigur54,22–71,1429,81–46,72
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție575346921sigur508–642280–413788–1055mai sigur490–661262–430752–1091
Precizie pase %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,9664,69sigur67,93–75,9960,37–69,02mai sigur66,63–77,2859,06–70,33
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8812,7124,58sigur9,04–14,729,76–15,6518,80–30,37mai sigur8,29–15,479,01–16,4017,30–31,87
Ofsaiduri
40%
21%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,893,80sigur0,75–3,070,80–2,991,55–6,06mai sigur0,45–3,370,51–3,270,96–6,64
Cartonașe galbene
32%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,733,15sigur0,37–2,470,60–2,860,97–5,32mai sigur0,10–2,730,31–3,150,41–5,88
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
18%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,474,316,78sigur1,04–3,912,76–5,873,79–9,78mai sigur0,65–4,302,33–6,292,98–10,59
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,15 1,18–3,11 0,93–3,37 | 0,94 0,09–1,80 0,00–2,03 | 3,09 1,27–4,91 0,79–5,39 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,54 4,68–8,40 4,19–8,89 | 3,39 1,65–5,13 1,18–5,60 | 9,93 6,32–13,53 5,37–14,49 | 80% |
| Total șuturi | 18,47 14,54–22,39 13,45–23,48 | 10,35 6,79–13,91 5,83–14,87 | 28,82 21,33–36,31 19,28–38,36 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,84 8,90–14,78 8,07–15,61 | 6,77 4,09–9,45 3,35–10,19 | 18,61 12,98–24,23 11,42–25,80 | 86% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,50 2,62–6,38 2,07–6,93 | 3,15 1,50–4,80 1,01–5,30 | 7,65 4,12–11,19 3,08–12,22 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Cornere | 6,79 4,58–9,01 4,01–9,58 | 3,95 1,95–5,95 1,42–6,49 | 10,75 6,53–14,96 5,43–16,07 | 76% 15% |
| Posesie % | 62,68 55,89–69,47 54,22–71,14 | 38,26 31,48–45,05 29,81–46,72 | — | 92% |
| Pase | 575 508–642 490–661 | 346 280–413 262–430 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,96 67,93–75,99 66,63–77,28 | 64,69 60,37–69,02 59,06–70,33 | — | 81% 16% |
| Faulturi | 11,88 9,04–14,72 8,29–15,47 | 12,71 9,76–15,65 9,01–16,40 | 24,58 18,80–30,37 17,30–31,87 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,91 0,75–3,07 0,45–3,37 | 1,89 0,80–2,99 0,51–3,27 | 3,80 1,55–6,06 0,96–6,64 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,42 0,37–2,47 0,10–2,73 | 1,73 0,60–2,86 0,31–3,15 | 3,15 0,97–5,32 0,41–5,88 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,47 1,04–3,91 0,65–4,30 | 4,31 2,76–5,87 2,33–6,29 | 6,78 3,79–9,78 2,98–10,59 | 18% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
Estimări statistice doar pentru informare și divertisment, nu sfaturi de pariere.