Ligue 1·Etapa 22·
Ligue 1·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
25%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,101,572,68sigur0,14–2,070,72–2,430,85–4,50mai sigur0,00–2,320,49–2,660,37–4,98
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
14%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,224,538,75sigur2,36–6,092,79–6,275,15–12,36mai sigur1,87–6,572,32–6,744,19–13,31
Total șuturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7912,7025,49sigur8,86–16,719,14–16,2718,00–32,98mai sigur7,77–17,808,18–17,2315,95–35,03
Șuturi din careu
43%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,488,6617,14sigur5,54–11,425,98–11,3411,52–22,76mai sigur4,71–12,255,24–12,089,95–24,33
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,623,276,89sigur1,73–5,501,62–4,923,35–10,42mai sigur1,19–6,041,13–5,422,32–11,46
Cornere
47%
13%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,934,699,62sigur2,72–7,152,69–6,695,41–13,84mai sigur2,15–7,722,16–7,224,30–14,94
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție40,4559,25sigur33,66–47,2452,47–66,03mai sigur31,99–48,9150,79–67,71
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție372562934sigur305–439495–628800–1068mai sigur287–458478–646765–1103
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,0574,32sigur60,02–68,0770,00–78,64mai sigur58,72–69,3768,69–79,95
Faulturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1012,3823,47sigur8,26–13,939,43–15,3217,69–29,25mai sigur7,50–14,698,68–16,0716,18–30,76
Ofsaiduri
29%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,582,093,68sigur0,42–2,751,00–3,181,42–5,93mai sigur0,12–3,050,71–3,470,83–6,52
Cartonașe galbene
40%
23%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,543,18sigur0,59–2,690,41–2,671,00–5,35mai sigur0,32–2,950,12–2,960,44–5,91
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
45%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,152,946,09sigur1,72–4,591,38–4,493,10–9,08mai sigur1,33–4,980,96–4,922,29–9,89
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,10 0,14–2,07 0,00–2,32 | 1,57 0,72–2,43 0,49–2,66 | 2,68 0,85–4,50 0,37–4,98 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,22 2,36–6,09 1,87–6,57 | 4,53 2,79–6,27 2,32–6,74 | 8,75 5,15–12,36 4,19–13,31 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 12,79 8,86–16,71 7,77–17,80 | 12,70 9,14–16,27 8,18–17,23 | 25,49 18,00–32,98 15,95–35,03 | 47% 45% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,48 5,54–11,42 4,71–12,25 | 8,66 5,98–11,34 5,24–12,08 | 17,14 11,52–22,76 9,95–24,33 | 43% 47% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,62 1,73–5,50 1,19–6,04 | 3,27 1,62–4,92 1,13–5,42 | 6,89 3,35–10,42 2,32–11,46 | 47% 15% 37% |
| Cornere | 4,93 2,72–7,15 2,15–7,72 | 4,69 2,69–6,69 2,16–7,22 | 9,62 5,41–13,84 4,30–14,94 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Posesie % | 40,45 33,66–47,24 31,99–48,91 | 59,25 52,47–66,03 50,79–67,71 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 372 305–439 287–458 | 562 495–628 478–646 | 934 800–1068 765–1103 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,05 60,02–68,07 58,72–69,37 | 74,32 70,00–78,64 68,69–79,95 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 11,10 8,26–13,93 7,50–14,69 | 12,38 9,43–15,32 8,68–16,07 | 23,47 17,69–29,25 16,18–30,76 | 36% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,58 0,42–2,75 0,12–3,05 | 2,09 1,00–3,18 0,71–3,47 | 3,68 1,42–5,93 0,83–6,52 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,32–2,95 | 1,54 0,41–2,67 0,12–2,96 | 3,18 1,00–5,35 0,44–5,91 | 40% 23% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,15 1,72–4,59 1,33–4,98 | 2,94 1,38–4,49 0,96–4,92 | 6,09 3,10–9,08 2,29–9,89 | 45% 16% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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