Ligue 1·Etapa 23·
Ligue 1·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
24%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,232,89sigur0,69–2,630,37–2,081,06–4,71mai sigur0,44–2,880,14–2,310,58–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,184,059,24sigur3,32–7,052,31–5,805,63–12,84mai sigur2,83–7,541,85–6,264,68–13,80
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,8412,4527,29sigur10,92–18,778,89–16,0119,80–34,78mai sigur9,83–19,867,93–16,9717,75–36,83
Șuturi din careu
63%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,178,2118,39sigur7,23–13,125,53–10,9012,77–24,01mai sigur6,40–13,954,80–11,6311,20–25,58
Șuturi blocate
49%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,413,968,37sigur2,53–6,292,31–5,614,84–11,91mai sigur1,99–6,841,81–6,113,80–12,94
Cornere
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,624,199,81sigur3,41–7,842,19–6,195,60–14,03mai sigur2,84–8,411,66–6,724,49–15,13
Posesie %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,3351,96sigur41,54–55,1245,18–58,75mai sigur39,87–56,7943,51–60,42
Pase
42%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție464486951sigur397–531420–553817–1084mai sigur379–550402–570781–1120
Precizie pase %
21%
75%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,5274,24sigur64,49–72,5569,92–78,56mai sigur63,20–73,8468,61–79,87
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8411,6023,44sigur9,00–14,688,65–14,5417,66–29,22mai sigur8,25–15,447,91–15,2916,15–30,73
Ofsaiduri
45%
22%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,941,663,61sigur0,78–3,100,57–2,761,35–5,86mai sigur0,48–3,400,28–3,050,76–6,45
Cartonașe galbene
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,841,883,72sigur0,79–2,890,75–3,011,54–5,90mai sigur0,52–3,150,46–3,300,98–6,45
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
35%
16%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,963,406,36sigur1,52–4,391,85–4,963,37–9,35mai sigur1,13–4,781,42–5,382,56–10,17
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,66 0,69–2,63 0,44–2,88 | 1,23 0,37–2,08 0,14–2,31 | 2,89 1,06–4,71 0,58–5,19 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,18 3,32–7,05 2,83–7,54 | 4,05 2,31–5,80 1,85–6,26 | 9,24 5,63–12,84 4,68–13,80 | 58% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 14,84 10,92–18,77 9,83–19,86 | 12,45 8,89–16,01 7,93–16,97 | 27,29 19,80–34,78 17,75–36,83 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,17 7,23–13,12 6,40–13,95 | 8,21 5,53–10,90 4,80–11,63 | 18,39 12,77–24,01 11,20–25,58 | 63% 28% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,41 2,53–6,29 1,99–6,84 | 3,96 2,31–5,61 1,81–6,11 | 8,37 4,84–11,91 3,80–12,94 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,62 3,41–7,84 2,84–8,41 | 4,19 2,19–6,19 1,66–6,72 | 9,81 5,60–14,03 4,49–15,13 | 62% 27% |
| Posesie % | 48,33 41,54–55,12 39,87–56,79 | 51,96 45,18–58,75 43,51–60,42 | — | 39% 56% |
| Pase | 464 397–531 379–550 | 486 420–553 402–570 | 951 817–1084 781–1120 | 42% 57% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,52 64,49–72,55 63,20–73,84 | 74,24 69,92–78,56 68,61–79,87 | — | 21% 75% |
| Faulturi | 11,84 9,00–14,68 8,25–15,44 | 11,60 8,65–14,54 7,91–15,29 | 23,44 17,66–29,22 16,15–30,73 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,48–3,40 | 1,66 0,57–2,76 0,28–3,05 | 3,61 1,35–5,86 0,76–6,45 | 45% 22% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,84 0,79–2,89 0,52–3,15 | 1,88 0,75–3,01 0,46–3,30 | 3,72 1,54–5,90 0,98–6,45 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,96 1,52–4,39 1,13–4,78 | 3,40 1,85–4,96 1,42–5,38 | 6,36 3,37–9,35 2,56–10,17 | 35% 16% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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