Ligue 1·Etapa 24·
Ligue 1·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,310,743,05sigur1,34–3,280,00–1,591,23–4,87mai sigur1,09–3,530,00–1,820,75–5,35
Șuturi pe poartă
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,362,949,30sigur4,50–8,221,19–4,685,69–12,90mai sigur4,01–8,710,73–5,144,74–13,86
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,848,8026,64sigur13,92–21,775,24–12,3619,16–34,13mai sigur12,83–22,864,28–13,3217,11–36,18
Șuturi din careu
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,285,2717,55sigur9,34–15,222,58–7,9511,92–23,17mai sigur8,51–16,051,85–8,6810,36–24,74
Șuturi blocate
76%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,532,246,77sigur2,65–6,410,59–3,893,24–10,31mai sigur2,11–6,960,09–4,392,20–11,34
Cornere
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,853,7110,57sigur4,64–9,071,71–5,716,35–14,78mai sigur4,07–9,641,18–6,255,25–15,89
Posesie %
97%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,7233,57sigur59,93–73,5126,79–40,36mai sigur58,26–75,1825,12–42,03
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție614307921sigur547–681240–373787–1054mai sigur528–699223–391751–1090
Precizie pase %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,8465,35sigur72,81–80,8661,03–69,68mai sigur71,51–82,1659,72–70,99
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9513,3724,32sigur8,12–13,7910,42–16,3118,54–30,10mai sigur7,36–14,559,67–17,0617,03–31,61
Ofsaiduri
44%
21%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,981,733,72sigur0,82–3,140,64–2,831,46–5,97mai sigur0,52–3,450,35–3,120,88–6,56
Cartonașe galbene
22%
21%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,252,133,38sigur0,20–2,291,01–3,261,20–5,56mai sigur0,00–2,560,71–3,550,64–6,12
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,100,14sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,420,00–0,77
Parade portar
16%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,144,046,18sigur0,70–3,572,49–5,603,19–9,17mai sigur0,31–3,962,06–6,022,38–9,99
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,31 1,34–3,28 1,09–3,53 | 0,74 0,00–1,59 0,00–1,82 | 3,05 1,23–4,87 0,75–5,35 | 73% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,36 4,50–8,22 4,01–8,71 | 2,94 1,19–4,68 0,73–5,14 | 9,30 5,69–12,90 4,74–13,86 | 83% |
| Total șuturi | 17,84 13,92–21,77 12,83–22,86 | 8,80 5,24–12,36 4,28–13,32 | 26,64 19,16–34,13 17,11–36,18 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,28 9,34–15,22 8,51–16,05 | 5,27 2,58–7,95 1,85–8,68 | 17,55 11,92–23,17 10,36–24,74 | 94% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,53 2,65–6,41 2,11–6,96 | 2,24 0,59–3,89 0,09–4,39 | 6,77 3,24–10,31 2,20–11,34 | 76% 14% |
| Cornere | 6,85 4,64–9,07 4,07–9,64 | 3,71 1,71–5,71 1,18–6,25 | 10,57 6,35–14,78 5,25–15,89 | 79% |
| Posesie % | 66,72 59,93–73,51 58,26–75,18 | 33,57 26,79–40,36 25,12–42,03 | — | 97% |
| Pase | 614 547–681 528–699 | 307 240–373 223–391 | 921 787–1054 751–1090 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,84 72,81–80,86 71,51–82,16 | 65,35 61,03–69,68 59,72–70,99 | — | 92% |
| Faulturi | 10,95 8,12–13,79 7,36–14,55 | 13,37 10,42–16,31 9,67–17,06 | 24,32 18,54–30,10 17,03–31,61 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,98 0,82–3,14 0,52–3,45 | 1,73 0,64–2,83 0,35–3,12 | 3,72 1,46–5,97 0,88–6,56 | 44% 21% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,25 0,20–2,29 0,00–2,56 | 2,13 1,01–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 3,38 1,20–5,56 0,64–6,12 | 22% 21% 58% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,14 0,70–3,57 0,31–3,96 | 4,04 2,49–5,60 2,06–6,02 | 6,18 3,19–9,17 2,38–9,99 | 16% 71% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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