Ligue 1·Etapa 24·
Ligue 1·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
24%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,262,99sigur0,76–2,700,40–2,111,17–4,81mai sigur0,51–2,950,17–2,340,69–5,29
Șuturi pe poartă
53%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,294,549,84sigur3,43–7,162,80–6,296,23–13,44mai sigur2,94–7,652,34–6,755,28–14,40
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1312,2428,37sigur12,21–20,068,67–15,8020,88–35,86mai sigur11,12–21,157,71–16,7618,83–37,91
Șuturi din careu
65%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,548,3118,85sigur7,60–13,485,63–10,9913,23–24,48mai sigur6,77–14,314,89–11,7311,66–26,04
Șuturi blocate
49%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,093,647,73sigur2,21–5,971,99–5,304,20–11,27mai sigur1,66–6,521,50–5,793,16–12,30
Cornere
53%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,704,9610,65sigur3,48–7,912,96–6,966,44–14,87mai sigur2,91–8,482,42–7,495,33–15,98
Posesie %
61%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,7547,13sigur45,96–59,5440,35–53,92mai sigur44,29–61,2138,68–55,59
Pase
70%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție494429923sigur426–561362–495789–1056mai sigur408–579345–513753–1092
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,3772,96sigur67,34–75,4068,63–77,28mai sigur66,05–76,6967,32–78,59
Faulturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0312,0225,05sigur10,19–15,869,08–14,9719,27–30,83mai sigur9,43–16,628,33–15,7217,76–32,34
Ofsaiduri
39%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,743,48sigur0,58–2,900,65–2,841,23–5,73mai sigur0,28–3,200,36–3,120,64–6,32
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,802,214,02sigur0,76–2,851,08–3,341,84–6,19mai sigur0,49–3,120,79–3,631,28–6,75
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
30%
15%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,903,776,67sigur1,46–4,342,21–5,323,68–9,66mai sigur1,08–4,721,79–5,752,86–10,47
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,73 0,76–2,70 0,51–2,95 | 1,26 0,40–2,11 0,17–2,34 | 2,99 1,17–4,81 0,69–5,29 | 49% 24% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,29 3,43–7,16 2,94–7,65 | 4,54 2,80–6,29 2,34–6,75 | 9,84 6,23–13,44 5,28–14,40 | 53% 34% |
| Total șuturi | 16,13 12,21–20,06 11,12–21,15 | 12,24 8,67–15,80 7,71–16,76 | 28,37 20,88–35,86 18,83–37,91 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,54 7,60–13,48 6,77–14,31 | 8,31 5,63–10,99 4,89–11,73 | 18,85 13,23–24,48 11,66–26,04 | 65% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,09 2,21–5,97 1,66–6,52 | 3,64 1,99–5,30 1,50–5,79 | 7,73 4,20–11,27 3,16–12,30 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,70 3,48–7,91 2,91–8,48 | 4,96 2,96–6,96 2,42–7,49 | 10,65 6,44–14,87 5,33–15,98 | 53% 35% |
| Posesie % | 52,75 45,96–59,54 44,29–61,21 | 47,13 40,35–53,92 38,68–55,59 | — | 61% 35% |
| Pase | 494 426–561 408–579 | 429 362–495 345–513 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 70% 29% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,37 67,34–75,40 66,05–76,69 | 72,96 68,63–77,28 67,32–78,59 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 13,03 10,19–15,86 9,43–16,62 | 12,02 9,08–14,97 8,33–15,72 | 25,05 19,27–30,83 17,76–32,34 | 54% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,74 0,65–2,84 0,36–3,12 | 3,48 1,23–5,73 0,64–6,32 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,80 0,76–2,85 0,49–3,12 | 2,21 1,08–3,34 0,79–3,63 | 4,02 1,84–6,19 1,28–6,75 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,90 1,46–4,34 1,08–4,72 | 3,77 2,21–5,32 1,79–5,75 | 6,67 3,68–9,66 2,86–10,47 | 30% 15% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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